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Jesse Prewitt III
Jesse Prewitt III

#17Jesse Prewitt III

WR·Central Michigan·2024

Jesse Prewitt III is a Versatile WR for Central Michigan.

What projects, and what doesn't · WRs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.47
    Beats guessing the WR average by 16%. n=6,302 WR seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.09
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=5,767 WR seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.45
    Beats guessing the WR average by 12%. n=5,767 WR seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Jesse Prewitt III's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2024 Production

Receiving
23 Receptions186 Rec yards2 Rec TD8.1 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2024 · vs WR peers

  • Efficiency100
  • Volume13
  • Explosiveness7
  • Consistency66
  • Pass-Down0
Player type
Versatile WR

Balanced profile without a single dominant trait — contributes across multiple dimensions.

Balanced usageMulti-role
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)100th %ile · elite
Game-to-game consistency66th %ile · average
Key findings
  • ▸Top-10% efficiency among WRs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
  • ▸Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
  • ▸5 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • ▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.22 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
  • ▸Peak game: 1.68 EPA/play in Wk 2 vs Florida International (SP+ -12).

NIL Market Tier· 2024

On3 valuation ↗
Elite

Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · WR · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

PlayerTeamWEPA/playLine valTotal EPA
Quadree HendersonPittsburgh0.5301.633.4
DeAndre HughesAir Force0.4701.328.2
Savion WilliamsTCU0.4501.125.2
Keytaon ThompsonMississippi State0.4601.232.2
Bert Emanuel Jr.Central Michigan0.4601.624.4

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+1.680−1.68Wk 1 vs Central Connecticut: +0.53 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs Florida International: +1.68 EPA/play2Wk 3 vs Illinois: +0.20 EPA/play3Wk 4 vs Ball State: +0.06 EPA/play4Wk 5 vs San Diego State: +0.76 EPA/play5Wk 7 vs Ohio: -0.13 EPA/play7Wk 9 vs Miami (OH): -0.23 EPA/play9Wk 11 vs Bowling Green: +0.20 EPA/play11Wk 12 vs Toledo: +1.20 EPA/play12Wk 14 vs Northern Illinois: +1.11 EPA/play14
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+RecRec YdsAvgRec TDLongEPA/play
1vsCentral ConnecticutW66-10—22613.00210.53
2vsFlorida InternationalL16-52-12.111818.00181.68
3@IllinoisL9-309.6166.0060.20
4vsBall StateW37-34-19.8155.0050.06
5vsSan Diego StateW22-21-15.46427.00170.76
7vsOhioL25-272.3144.004-0.13
9@Miami (OH)L7-461.3144.004-0.23
11vsBowling GreenL13-23-1.8166.0060.20
12@ToledoL10-37-2.54389.50131.20
14@Northern IllinoisL16-24-3.55377.42111.11

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
4.5%
Passing plays
9.6%
Rushing plays
0.0%
Standard downs
4.1%
Passing downs
5.3%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.82
Passing downs
0.42
Pass / Rush EPA
0.65 / —

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.