#8Jared Gipson

WR·Sacramento State·2024

Jared Gipson is a Versatile WR for Sacramento State. Jared's 2024 season ranks in the 100th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 51 plays — a elite rate for the WR.

What projects, and what doesn't · WRs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.47
Beats guessing the WR average by 16%. n=6,302 WR seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.09
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=5,767 WR seasons
Total EPA (value)0.45
Beats guessing the WR average by 12%. n=5,767 WR seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Jared Gipson's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2024 Production

Receiving

53 Receptions715 Rec yards9 Rec TD13.5 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2024 · vs WR peers

Efficiency100
Volume21
Explosiveness43
Consistency50
Pass-Down100

Player type

Versatile WR

Balanced profile without a single dominant trait — contributes across multiple dimensions.

Balanced usageMulti-role

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)100th %ile · elite

Key findings

▸Top-10% efficiency among WRs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
▸Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Peak game: 2.30 EPA/play in Wk 2 vs Fresno State (SP+ -4).

NIL Market Tier· 2024

On3 valuation ↗

Elite

Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Rec	Rec Yds	Avg	Rec TD	Long	EPA/play
1	@San José State	L24-42	-5.5	4	40	10.0	0	16	1.11
2	@Fresno State	L30-46	-3.8	5	138	27.6	1	78	2.30

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

7.2%

Passing plays

13.2%

Rushing plays

0.0%

Standard downs

7.6%

Passing downs

6.3%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.90
Passing downs: 1.52
Pass / Rush EPA: 1.07 / —

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).