#12Jake Retzlaff

QB·Tulane·20255.1 pts line valueDay 3 (Rds 4–7)

Jake Retzlaff is a Dual-Threat QB for Tulane. Jake's 2025 season ranks in the 20th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 499 plays — a developing rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.46
Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.51
Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Jake Retzlaff's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Passing

242/391 Comp/Att3168 Pass yards15 Pass TD7 INT61.9% Comp %

Rushing

634 Rush yards16 Rush TD129 Carries4.9 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs QB peers

Efficiency20
Volume100
Dual-Threat100
Consistency81
Clutch100

Player type

Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)20th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency81th %ile · above avg

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
▸7 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.14 from the first to second half of the season.
▸Peak game: 0.90 EPA/play in Wk 11 vs Memphis (SP+ 8).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗

Contributor

Rotational contributor. Smaller collective or local deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	C/ATT	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	QBR	Rush Yds	Rush TD	EPA/play
1	vsNorthwestern	W23-3	5.8	18/31	152	1	0	77.7	113	1	0.16
2	@South Alabama	W33-31	-12.7	13/24	125	1	0	74.5	64	1	0.23
3	vsDuke	W34-27	6.6	15/23	245	0	0	94.7	111	4	0.47
4	@Ole Miss	L10-45	24.0	5/17	56	0	0	37.2	51	0	-0.13
5	@Tulsa	W31-14	-10.0	17/30	242	0	0	59.0	29	1	0.32
7	vsEast Carolina	W26-19	8.0	26/36	347	2	0	79.6	20	0	0.64
8	vsArmy	W24-17	0.8	22/29	261	2	1	89.9	62	1	0.66
10	@UTSA	L26-48	3.7	14/28	194	1	2	58.3	63	1	0.29
11	@Memphis	W38-32	7.6	16/23	332	3	0	95.4	43	1	0.90
12	vsFlorida Atlantic	W35-24	-8.7	18/27	241	2	1	67.5	1	1	0.48
13	@Temple	W37-13	-5.1	17/28	231	2	0	68.6	8	1	0.43
14	vsCharlotte	W27-0	-26.7	28/38	291	0	2	39.3	-4	2	0.16
15	vsNorth Texas	W34-21	13.8	13/22	145	0	0	76.9	49	2	0.57
20	@Ole Miss	L10-41	24.0	20/35	306	1	1	37.9	24	0	—

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

55.0%

Passing plays

92.1%

Rushing plays

23.6%

Standard downs

51.8%

Passing downs

62.7%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.28
Passing downs: 0.58
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.38 / 0.45

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2025 · 14 games

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.