#11Jake Fromm

QB·Georgia·2019 2018 201711.7 pts line valueDay 2 (Rds 2–3)

Jake Fromm is a 3-year Clutch Passer for Georgia. Jake's 2018 season ranks in the 93th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 341 plays — a elite rate for the QB. Production has trended downward season-over-season on adjusted value metrics.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.46
Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.51
Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Jake Fromm's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

Recruiting Profile· Class of 2017

★★★★★

4-Star · High major target

Stars: ★★★★★
247 composite: 0.9794
National rank: #44
High school: Houston County
Hometown: Warner Robins, GA

Recruiting data from CFBD/247Sports composite. Sourced from the player's signing-class team — transfers show original school's class.

2018 Production

Passing

206/305 Comp/Att2749 Pass yards30 Pass TD6 INT67.5% Comp %

Rushing

-27 Rush yards0 Rush TD41 Carries-0.7 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2018 · vs QB peers

Efficiency93
Volume100
Dual-Threat7
Consistency87
Clutch83

Player type

Clutch Passer

Elevates on passing downs — 3rd-and-medium, two-minute drills, and pressure situations are where this QB is best.

3rd-down precisionLate-game valueHigh passing-down EPA

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)93th %ile · elite

Game-to-game consistency87th %ile · above avg

Career trajectory:↓ Declining

Key findings

▸Top-10% efficiency among QBs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
▸Production has slipped season-over-season on adjusted value metrics.
▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
▸10 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Peak game: 0.93 EPA/play in Wk 6 vs Vanderbilt (SP+ 8).

Historical Comparables · QB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Stetson Bennett	Georgia	2022	509	0.635	12.5	323.0
Kaidon Salter	Liberty	2023	486	0.711	14.7	345.6
Blake Sims	Alabama	2014	473	0.696	15.4	329.4
Tanner Mordecai	SMU	2021	510	0.630	14.0	321.5
Malik Cunningham	Louisville	2021	502	0.681	14.7	341.6

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	C/ATT	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	QBR	Rush Yds	Rush TD	EPA/play
1	vsAustin Peay	W45-0	—	12/16	157	2	0	—	—	—	0.87
2	@South Carolina	W41-17	14.9	15/18	194	1	1	—	-5	0	0.56
3	vsMiddle Tennessee	W49-7	-3.8	10/12	128	3	0	—	-11	0	0.77
4	@Missouri	W43-29	20.8	13/23	260	3	1	—	8	0	0.67
5	vsTennessee	W38-12	5.5	16/22	185	0	0	—	-14	0	0.31
6	vsVanderbilt	W41-13	7.6	17/23	276	3	0	—	2	0	0.93
7	@LSU	L16-36	24.2	16/34	209	1	2	—	-19	0	0.07
9	vsFlorida	W36-17	23.0	17/24	240	3	0	—	11	0	0.69
10	@Kentucky	W34-17	13.1	14/20	113	1	0	76.7	2	0	0.31
11	vsAuburn	W27-10	23.6	13/20	193	2	1	—	5	0	0.56
12	vsMassachusetts	W66-27	-16.1	5/5	106	1	0	—	—	—	0.59
13	vsGeorgia Tech	W45-21	0.3	13/16	175	4	0	—	1	0	0.91
14	vsAlabama	L28-35	36.3	25/38	301	3	0	—	-2	0	0.53
1	vsTexas	L21-28	11.3	20/34	212	3	1	—	-5	0	0.36

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

36.5%

Passing plays

85.3%

Rushing plays

5.3%

Standard downs

31.5%

Passing downs

49.8%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.44
Passing downs: 0.65
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.57 / -0.06

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2017 — 2019 · 43 games

Season	Team	Line value	WEPA/play	YoY Δ	Total EPA
2017	Georgia	8.8	0.670	—	210.4
2018	Georgia	11.7	0.770	+0.10	250.2
2019	Georgia	7.2	0.520	-0.25	212.2

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.