Jacob Kibodi

RB·Louisiana·2023

Jacob Kibodi is a Explosive Back for Louisiana. Jacob's 2023 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 139 plays — a developing rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.52
Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.41
Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Jacob Kibodi's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2023 Production

Rushing

729 Rush yards7 Rush TD129 Carries5.7 Yards/carry

Receiving

9 Receptions79 Rec yards1 Rec TD8.8 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2023 · vs RB peers

Efficiency0
Volume52
Explosiveness54
Consistency48
Receiving29

Player type

Explosive Back

Elite per-carry efficiency — breaks big runs and creates chunk plays at a top rate while in a limited role.

Big-play threatHigh EPA per carryCapitalises on opportunities

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency48th %ile · average

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸4 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.65 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
▸Peak game: 0.84 EPA/play in Wk 3 vs UAB (SP+ -15).

NIL Market Tier· 2023

On3 valuation ↗

Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Saquon Barkley	Penn State	2016	288	0.340	3.9	97.9

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Car	Rush Yds	Avg	Rush TD	Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TD	EPA/play
1	vsNorthwestern State	W38-13	—	9	49	5.4	0	—	—	—	0.20
2	@Old Dominion	L31-38	-10.1	10	54	5.4	0	1	37	1	0.70
3	@UAB	W41-21	-14.7	7	108	15.4	1	—	—	—	0.84
4	vsBuffalo	W45-38	-15.2	7	100	14.3	2	1	16	0	0.77
5	@Minnesota	L24-35	0.4	7	65	9.3	1	1	4	0	0.49
6	vsTexas State	W34-30	-1.6	11	63	5.7	0	—	—	—	0.25
8	vsGeorgia State	L17-20	-6.8	13	27	2.1	1	1	6	0	-0.05
9	@South Alabama	W33-20	5.1	23	119	5.2	1	2	3	0	0.13
10	@Arkansas State	L17-37	-6.3	6	26	4.3	0	—	—	—	-0.09
11	vsSouthern Miss	L31-34	-14.4	14	40	2.9	0	—	—	—	-0.16
12	@Troy	L24-31	9.8	7	23	3.3	0	2	4	0	-0.37
13	vsUL Monroe	W52-21	-21.6	15	55	3.7	1	1	9	0	-0.08

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

18.2%

Passing plays

2.9%

Rushing plays

31.4%

Standard downs

20.0%

Passing downs

13.8%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.21
Passing downs: 0.06
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.50 / 0.15

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).