#8Gabarri Johnson

QB·Oregon State·2025

Gabarri Johnson is a Volume Passer for Oregon State. Gabarri's 2025 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 123 plays — a developing rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.46
Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.51
Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Gabarri Johnson's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Passing

62/100 Comp/Att501 Pass yards2 Pass TD3 INT62.0% Comp %

Rushing

119 Rush yards1 Rush TD34 Carries3.5 Yards/carry

Punting

1 Punts13 Punt yards13.0 Yards/punt13 Long0 Inside 20

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs QB peers

Efficiency0
Volume54
Dual-Threat47
Consistency0
Clutch54

Player type

Volume Passer

High-rep offense that leans on this QB's arm — value comes through cumulative production across a high number of plays.

High play countFranchise-volume role

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency0th %ile · below avg

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
▸Peak game: 1.04 EPA/play in Wk 2 vs Fresno State (SP+ 2).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗

Contributor

Rotational contributor. Smaller collective or local deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	C/ATT	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	QBR	Rush Yds	Rush TD	EPA/play
1	vsCalifornia	L15-34	-3.2	1/1	4	0	0	21.7	5	0	-0.15
2	vsFresno State	L27-36	1.8	—	—	—	—	—	7	0	1.04
3	@Texas Tech	L14-45	27.6	1/3	-2	0	0	3.8	3	0	-0.45
4	@Oregon	L7-41	25.9	2/4	12	0	0	10.5	-5	0	-0.42
5	vsHouston	L24-27	7.4	—	—	—	—	—	4	0	-0.34
7	vsWake Forest	L14-39	5.7	6/12	45	1	0	15.8	-1	0	-0.04
8	vsLafayette	W45-13	—	7/9	79	1	1	95.9	82	1	0.63
10	vsWashington State	W10-7	3.8	10/15	33	0	0	10.6	9	0	-0.37
11	vsSam Houston	L17-21	-27.8	29/42	286	0	2	13.4	22	0	-0.14
12	@Tulsa	L14-31	-10.0	6/14	44	0	0	5.7	-7	0	-0.19

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

18.9%

Passing plays

29.5%

Rushing plays

8.1%

Standard downs

16.4%

Passing downs

23.9%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: -0.09
Passing downs: -0.02
Pass / Rush EPA: -0.11 / 0.14

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).