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Diego Pavia

#2Diego Pavia

Line value
6.9 pts
NFL Draft OutlookDay 3 (Rds 4–7)· model estimate based on position rank

Diego Pavia is a 2-year Dual-Threat QB for Vanderbilt. Diego's 2024 season ranks in the 30th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 486 plays — a developing rate for the QB.

2024 Production

Passing
177/298 Comp/Att2293 Pass yards20 Pass TD4 INT59.4% Comp %
Rushing
800 Rush yards8 Rush TD193 Carries4.1 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2024 · vs QB peers

EfficiencyVolumeDual-ThreatConsistencyClutch
Player type
Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)30th %ile · below avg
Game-to-game consistency83th %ile · above avg
Key findings
  • Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
  • High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
  • High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
  • 4 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • Production faded as the season progressed — 0.15 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
  • Peak game: 0.60 EPA/play in Wk 6 vs Alabama (SP+ 25).

NIL Market Tier· 2024

On3 valuation ↗
Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

Wk 1 vs Virginia Tech: +0.49 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs Alcorn State: +0.25 EPA/play2Wk 3 vs Georgia State: +0.24 EPA/play3Wk 4 vs Missouri: +0.27 EPA/play4Wk 6 vs Alabama: +0.60 EPA/play6Wk 7 vs Kentucky: +0.26 EPA/play7Wk 8 vs Ball State: +0.50 EPA/play8Wk 9 vs Texas: +0.17 EPA/play9Wk 10 vs Auburn: +0.14 EPA/play10Wk 11 vs South Carolina: +0.11 EPA/play11Wk 13 vs LSU: +0.19 EPA/play13Wk 14 vs Tennessee: +0.08 EPA/play14Wk 1 vs Georgia Tech: +0.49 EPA/play1
EPA per play, by weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+C/ATTPass YdsPass TDINTQBRRush YdsRush TDEPA/play
1vsVirginia TechW34-2710.012/161902082.610410.49
2vsAlcorn StateW55-010/13830053.05110.25
3@Georgia StateL32-36-17.918/332702043.34000.24
4@MissouriL27-3014.014/231782085.38400.27
6vsAlabamaW40-3525.016/202522095.95600.60
7@KentuckyW20-135.515/181432187.45300.26
8vsBall StateW24-14-19.817/312751061.98210.50
9vsTexasL24-2724.116/291432278.16710.17
10@AuburnW17-79.59/221432044.22600.14
11vsSouth CarolinaL7-2816.916/311660078.66510.11
13@LSUL17-2415.913/241861066.74310.19
14vsTennesseeL23-3622.08/171041146.74500.08
1vsGeorgia TechW35-271.913/211603083.88420.49

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
63.0%
Passing plays
97.8%
Rushing plays
38.2%
Standard downs
55.2%
Passing downs
78.4%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.18
Passing downs
0.46
Pass / Rush EPA
0.33 / 0.24

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg
2024
2023 — 2024 · 28 games
SeasonTeamLine valueWEPA/playYoY ΔTotal EPA
2023New Mexico State
5.1
0.430234.5
2024Vanderbilt
6.9
0.444+0.01217.9

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.