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David Mbadinga

#6David Mbadinga

David Mbadinga is a Committee Back for Georgia Southern. David's 2025 season produced -1.6 total EPA across 45 plays.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.52
    Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.41
    Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So David Mbadinga's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Rushing
196 Rush yards1 Rush TD49 Carries4.0 Yards/carry
Receiving
5 Receptions18 Rec yards0 Rec TD3.6 Yards/rec
Returns
1 Kick returns6 KR yards0 KR TD

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs RB peers

  • Efficiency0
  • Volume33
  • Explosiveness20
  • Consistency0
  • Receiving39
Player type
Committee Back

Part of a rotation — contributes in a complementary role and keeps the featured back fresh.

Rotational roleSituational use
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg
Game-to-game consistency0th %ile · below avg
Key findings
  • Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
  • High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
  • Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • Peak game: 0.40 EPA/play in Wk 4 vs Maine.

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗
Contributor

Rotational contributor. Smaller collective or local deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+0.6700.67Wk 1 vs Fresno State: -0.20 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs USC: +0.07 EPA/play2Wk 3 vs Jacksonville State: -0.20 EPA/play3Wk 4 vs Maine: +0.40 EPA/play4Wk 5 vs James Madison: +0.36 EPA/play5Wk 7 vs Southern Miss: +0.11 EPA/play7Wk 8 vs Georgia State: -0.67 EPA/play8
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+CarRush YdsAvgRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDEPA/play
1@Fresno StateL14-421.84205.001-10-0.20
2@USCL20-5916.911393.501-400.07
3vsJacksonville StateW41-34-6.78263.30-0.20
4vsMaineW45-177365.101900.40
5@James MadisonL10-3512.33144.701800.36
7vsSouthern MissL35-38-7.18283.511600.11
8vsGeorgia StateW41-24-24.58334.10-0.67

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
11.7%
Passing plays
2.5%
Rushing plays
21.7%
Standard downs
13.5%
Passing downs
8.1%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
-0.16
Passing downs
0.40
Pass / Rush EPA
0.42 / -0.08

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.
David Mbadinga Stats, EPA & Player Profile — Georgia Southern · Gridpex