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Daniel Swinney

#0Daniel Swinney

Daniel Swinney is a Explosive Back for Sacramento State.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.52
    Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.41
    Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Daniel Swinney's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2026 Production

Rushing
89 Rush yards1 Rush TD17 Carries5.2 Yards/carry
Receiving
2 Receptions4 Rec yards0 Rec TD2.0 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2026 · vs RB peers

  • Efficiency98
  • Volume37
  • Explosiveness44
  • Consistency50
  • Receiving47
Player type
Explosive Back

Elite per-carry efficiency — breaks big runs and creates chunk plays at a top rate while in a limited role.

Big-play threatHigh EPA per carryCapitalises on opportunities
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)98th %ile · elite
Key findings
  • Top-10% efficiency among RBs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
  • Peak game: 0.56 EPA/play in Wk 1 vs Mississippi Valley State.

NIL Market Tier· 2026

On3 valuation ↗
Star

Top-10 nationally. Multiple mid-to-large collective deals expected.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+0.5600.56Wk 1 vs Mississippi Valley State: +0.56 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs Fresno State: +0.21 EPA/play2
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+CarRush YdsAvgRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDEPA/play
1vsMississippi Valley StateW52-08587.311300.56
2@Fresno StateL3-49-7.69313.401100.21

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
12.9%
Passing plays
3.3%
Rushing plays
21.3%
Standard downs
16.7%
Passing downs
2.7%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.42
Passing downs
Pass / Rush EPA
— / 0.42

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.