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Courtney Jackson
Courtney Jackson

#9Courtney Jackson

WR·Arkansas State·2024

Courtney Jackson is a Versatile WR for Arkansas State. Courtney's 2024 season produced 46.5 total EPA across 40 plays.

What projects, and what doesn't · WRs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.47
    Beats guessing the WR average by 16%. n=6,302 WR seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.09
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=5,767 WR seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.45
    Beats guessing the WR average by 12%. n=5,767 WR seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Courtney Jackson's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2024 Production

Receiving
42 Receptions494 Rec yards2 Rec TD11.8 Yards/rec
Returns
15 Punt returns277 PR yards2 PR TD

Performance Analysis · 2024 · vs WR peers

  • Efficiency100
  • Volume13
  • Explosiveness32
  • Consistency81
  • Pass-Down100
Player type
Versatile WR

Balanced profile without a single dominant trait — contributes across multiple dimensions.

Balanced usageMulti-role
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)100th %ile · elite
Game-to-game consistency81th %ile · above avg
Key findings
  • ▸Top-10% efficiency among WRs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
  • ▸Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
  • ▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
  • ▸12 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • ▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • ▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.27 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
  • ▸Peak game: 3.69 EPA/play in Wk 4 vs Iowa State (SP+ 10).

NIL Market Tier· 2024

On3 valuation ↗
Elite

Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+3.690−3.69Wk 1 vs Central Arkansas: +1.67 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs Tulsa: +0.78 EPA/play2Wk 3 vs Michigan: +0.90 EPA/play3Wk 4 vs Iowa State: +3.69 EPA/play4Wk 6 vs South Alabama: +0.73 EPA/play6Wk 7 vs Texas State: +1.18 EPA/play7Wk 8 vs Southern Miss: +1.08 EPA/play8Wk 9 vs Troy: +1.51 EPA/play9Wk 11 vs Louisiana: +0.58 EPA/play11Wk 12 vs Georgia State: +1.21 EPA/play12Wk 13 vs UL Monroe: +0.46 EPA/play13Wk 14 vs Old Dominion: +2.36 EPA/play14
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+RecRec YdsAvgRec TDLongEPA/play
1vsCentral ArkansasW34-31—56913.80321.67
2vsTulsaW28-24-20.63206.7070.78
3@MichiganL18-2810.65418.20160.90
4@Iowa StateL7-5210.312020.00203.69
6vsSouth AlabamaW18-162.82199.50120.73
7@Texas StateL9-415.422713.50201.18
8@Southern MissW44-28-25.635518.30411.08
9vsTroyW34-31-6.622311.50151.51
11@LouisianaL19-554.84276.80100.58
12@Georgia StateW27-20-17.934013.30251.21
13vsUL MonroeW28-21-16.766911.51440.46
14vsOld DominionL32-40-6.023517.51352.36
20vsBowling GreenW38-31-1.844912.3026—

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
4.6%
Passing plays
8.9%
Rushing plays
0.0%
Standard downs
3.9%
Passing downs
6.0%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.81
Passing downs
1.64
Pass / Rush EPA
1.16 / —

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.