#12Connor Halliday

QB·Washington State·2014 20130.4 pts line valueDay 3 (Rds 4–7)

Connor Halliday is a 2-year Clutch Passer for Washington State. Connor's 2013 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 627 plays — a developing rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.46
Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.51
Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Connor Halliday's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2013 Production

Passing

449/714 Comp/Att4597 Pass yards34 Pass TD22 INT62.9% Comp %

Rushing

-177 Rush yards0 Rush TD50 Carries-3.5 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2013 · vs QB peers

Efficiency0
Volume100
Dual-Threat0
Consistency76
Clutch100

Player type

Clutch Passer

Elevates on passing downs — 3rd-and-medium, two-minute drills, and pressure situations are where this QB is best.

3rd-down precisionLate-game valueHigh passing-down EPA

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency76th %ile · above avg

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Peak game: 0.39 EPA/play in Wk 3 vs Southern Utah.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	C/ATT	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	QBR	Rush Yds	EPA/play
1	@Auburn	L24-31	25.2	35/65	344	1	3	27.6	14	0.05
2	@USC	W10-7	22.5	26/38	215	0	2	18.0	-30	0.22
3	vsSouthern Utah	W48-10	—	32/41	383	5	1	88.5	-2	0.39
4	vsIdaho	W42-0	-35.6	31/43	346	4	2	72.2	-8	0.20
5	vsStanford	L17-55	21.7	24/36	184	0	1	20.6	-7	0.16
6	@California	W44-22	-8.7	41/67	521	3	1	75.7	-5	0.11
7	vsOregon State	L24-52	11.9	26/49	248	1	3	44.8	-1	0.02
8	@Oregon	L38-62	28.7	58/89	557	4	4	35.9	-19	0.07
10	vsArizona State	L21-55	17.5	29/54	300	2	1	15.7	-25	0.01
12	@Arizona	W24-17	14.6	39/53	319	2	1	58.9	-14	0.22
13	vsUtah	W49-37	11.8	39/62	488	4	0	79.9	1	0.28
14	@Washington	L17-27	20.5	32/59	282	2	2	29.3	-32	-0.04
1	vsColorado State	L45-48	3.0	37/58	410	6	1	68.1	-49	0.24

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

72.4%

Passing plays

91.7%

Rushing plays

9.0%

Standard downs

69.3%

Passing downs

79.0%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.01
Passing downs: 0.35
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.14 / -0.13

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2013 — 2014 · 22 games

Season	Team	Line value	WEPA/play	YoY Δ	Total EPA
2013	Washington State	0.4	0.170	—	100.8
2014	Washington State	7.5	0.420	+0.25	212.9

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.