#1Conner Weigman

QB·Texas A&M·2025 2024

Conner Weigman is a Dual-Threat QB for Texas A&M. Conner's 2024 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 130 plays — a developing rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.46
Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.51
Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Conner Weigman's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2024 Production

Passing

64/114 Comp/Att819 Pass yards3 Pass TD5 INT56.1% Comp %

Rushing

101 Rush yards0 Rush TD28 Carries3.6 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2024 · vs QB peers

Efficiency0
Volume100
Dual-Threat100
Consistency54
Clutch100

Player type

Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency54th %ile · average

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
▸3 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.26 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
▸Peak game: 0.67 EPA/play in Wk 2 vs McNeese.

NIL Market Tier· 2024

On3 valuation ↗

Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	C/ATT	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	QBR	Rush Yds	EPA/play
1	vsNotre Dame	L13-23	23.9	12/30	100	0	2	31.8	26	-0.09
2	vsMcNeese	W52-10	—	11/14	125	2	0	72.5	39	0.67
6	vsMissouri	W41-10	14.0	18/22	276	0	0	93.7	33	0.66
8	@Mississippi State	W34-24	-4.1	15/25	217	1	2	67.2	14	0.66
9	vsLSU	W38-23	15.9	6/18	64	0	0	12.9	-14	-0.47
12	vsNew Mexico State	W38-3	-19.0	2/5	37	0	1	3.2	3	0.27

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

35.8%

Passing plays

70.3%

Rushing plays

9.0%

Standard downs

35.6%

Passing downs

36.1%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.07
Passing downs: 0.55
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.16 / 0.55

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2025 · 13 games

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.