#8Christian Neptune

WR·South Florida·2025

Christian Neptune is a Slot Specialist WR for South Florida. Christian's 2025 season ranks in the 83th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 60 plays — a above-average rate for the WR.

What projects, and what doesn't · WRs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.47
Beats guessing the WR average by 16%. n=6,302 WR seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.09
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=5,767 WR seasons
Total EPA (value)0.45
Beats guessing the WR average by 12%. n=5,767 WR seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Christian Neptune's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Receiving

38 Receptions335 Rec yards1 Rec TD8.8 Yards/rec

Returns

1 Kick returns-2 KR yards0 KR TD6 Punt returns9 PR yards0 PR TD

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs WR peers

Efficiency83
Volume24
Explosiveness12
Consistency44
Pass-Down96

Player type

Slot Specialist WR

The offense's primary passing-down weapon — routes, separation, and reliability on 3rd down define this role.

3rd-down converterRoute technicianHigh passing-down share

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)83th %ile · above avg

Game-to-game consistency44th %ile · below avg

Key findings

▸Above-average efficiency for the WR position (83th percentile).
▸Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Peak game: 1.29 EPA/play in Wk 7 vs North Texas (SP+ 14).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗

Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · WR · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Justin Lynch	Temple	2021	63	0.240	0.3	15.1
Samajie Grant	Arizona	2016	62	0.250	0.3	15.5
Tyler Buchner	Notre Dame	2021	51	0.250	0.3	12.8
Brandon Chatman	Navy	2025	52	0.230	0.6	12.0
Amare Jones	Tulane	2020	71	0.180	0.0	12.8

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Rec	Rec Yds	Avg	Rec TD	Long	EPA/play
2	@Florida	W18-16	3.5	5	39	7.8	0	15	0.30
3	@Miami	L12-49	20.7	7	32	4.6	1	12	0.12
4	vsSouth Carolina State	W63-14	—	2	9	4.5	0	5	-0.38
6	vsCharlotte	W54-26	-26.7	1	15	15.0	0	15	-0.12
7	@North Texas	W63-36	13.8	2	16	8.0	0	11	1.29
8	vsFlorida Atlantic	W48-13	-8.7	1	32	32.0	0	32	0.36
9	@Memphis	L31-34	7.6	6	43	7.2	0	16	-0.09
11	vsUTSA	W55-23	3.7	4	42	10.5	0	16	0.83
12	@Navy	L38-41	6.2	1	5	5.0	0	5	0.03
20	vsOld Dominion	L10-24	5.9	9	102	11.3	0	43	—

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

8.4%

Passing plays

16.7%

Rushing plays

1.2%

Standard downs

7.0%

Passing downs

11.8%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.11
Passing downs: 0.39
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.23 / 0.18

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).