#5Chas Nimrod

WR·South Florida·2025

Chas Nimrod is a Vertical Threat WR for South Florida. Chas's 2025 season produced 16.6 total EPA across 34 plays.

What projects, and what doesn't · WRs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.47
Beats guessing the WR average by 16%. n=6,302 WR seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.09
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=5,767 WR seasons
Total EPA (value)0.45
Beats guessing the WR average by 12%. n=5,767 WR seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Chas Nimrod's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Receiving

23 Receptions466 Rec yards3 Rec TD20.3 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs WR peers

Efficiency100
Volume26
Explosiveness88
Consistency70
Pass-Down23

Player type

Vertical Threat WR

Elite deep receiver who stretches the field. Wins downfield, commands safety attention, and creates the threat that opens underneath routes.

Downfield threatYAC upsideCreates space for teammates

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)100th %ile · elite

Game-to-game consistency70th %ile · average

Key findings

▸Top-10% efficiency among WRs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
▸Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
▸4 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.46 from the first to second half of the season.
▸Peak game: 2.01 EPA/play in Wk 4 vs South Carolina State.

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗

Elite

Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · WR · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Dane Kinamon	Air Force	2021	39	0.410	0.7	16.0
Savion Williams	TCU	2024	56	0.450	1.1	25.2
DeAndre Hughes	Air Force	2021	60	0.470	1.3	28.2
Keytaon Thompson	Mississippi State	2017	70	0.460	1.2	32.2
Javion Posey	Florida Atlantic	2020	53	0.450	1.4	23.8

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Rec	Rec Yds	Avg	Rec TD	Long	EPA/play
1	vsBoise State	W34-7	3.1	3	96	32.0	0	55	0.95
2	@Florida	W18-16	3.5	3	24	8.0	0	16	-0.24
3	@Miami	L12-49	20.7	4	128	32.0	0	53	0.70
4	vsSouth Carolina State	W63-14	—	4	119	29.8	2	46	2.01
6	vsCharlotte	W54-26	-26.7	5	54	10.8	1	18	0.23
7	@North Texas	W63-36	13.8	4	45	11.3	0	26	0.54

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

9.0%

Passing plays

18.9%

Rushing plays

0.0%

Standard downs

8.2%

Passing downs

11.0%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.55
Passing downs: 0.39
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.49 / —

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).