#3Bryce Archie

QB·South Florida·2024

Bryce Archie is a Dual-Threat QB for South Florida. Bryce's 2024 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 306 plays — a developing rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.46
Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.51
Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Bryce Archie's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2024 Production

Passing

172/290 Comp/Att1914 Pass yards9 Pass TD10 INT59.3% Comp %

Rushing

137 Rush yards2 Rush TD68 Carries2.0 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2024 · vs QB peers

Efficiency0
Volume100
Dual-Threat73
Consistency0
Clutch16

Player type

Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency0th %ile · below avg

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
▸High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.61 from the first to second half of the season.
▸Peak game: 0.62 EPA/play in Wk 13 vs Tulsa (SP+ -21).

NIL Market Tier· 2024

On3 valuation ↗

Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	C/ATT	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	QBR	Rush Yds	Rush TD	EPA/play
1	vsBethune-Cookman	W48-3	—	2/3	20	1	0	4.9	-11	0	0.04
2	@Alabama	L16-42	25.0	1/1	0	0	0	34.0	—	—	-1.15
4	vsMiami	L15-50	21.6	6/12	37	0	2	2.4	-8	0	-0.57
5	@Tulane	L10-45	5.7	4/10	41	0	0	31.4	-11	0	-0.14
7	vsMemphis	L3-21	9.6	22/41	234	0	1	10.1	-5	0	-0.05
8	vsUAB	W35-25	-11.3	17/31	201	2	1	17.1	-1	0	0.05
10	@Florida Atlantic	W44-21	-12.7	19/32	206	2	0	67.3	25	1	0.41
11	vsNavy	L7-28	3.5	26/43	282	1	2	17.2	15	0	-0.02
12	@Charlotte	W59-24	-15.3	11/16	126	0	1	82.1	72	0	0.37
13	vsTulsa	W63-30	-20.6	21/31	305	2	1	82.5	40	1	0.62
14	@Rice	L28-35	-11.4	19/35	227	1	1	39.1	21	0	0.15
20	vsSan José State	W41-39	-5.5	24/35	235	0	1	34.7	0	0	—

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

41.9%

Passing plays

70.0%

Rushing plays

12.3%

Standard downs

37.8%

Passing downs

49.8%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.19
Passing downs: 0.07
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.12 / 0.27

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).