#14Bo Wallace

QB·Ole Miss·2014 20132.3 pts line valueDay 3 (Rds 4–7)

Bo Wallace is a 2-year Dual-Threat QB for Ole Miss. Bo's 2013 season ranks in the 28th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 499 plays — a developing rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.46
Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.51
Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Bo Wallace's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2013 Production

Passing

283/437 Comp/Att3346 Pass yards18 Pass TD10 INT64.8% Comp %

Rushing

355 Rush yards6 Rush TD131 Carries2.7 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2013 · vs QB peers

Efficiency28
Volume100
Dual-Threat56
Consistency75
Clutch100

Player type

Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)28th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency75th %ile · above avg

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
▸3 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.15 from the first to second half of the season.
▸Peak game: 0.59 EPA/play in Wk 8 vs LSU (SP+ 29).

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	C/ATT	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	QBR	Rush Yds	Rush TD	EPA/play
1	@Vanderbilt	W39-35	7.5	31/47	283	0	0	73.9	48	2	0.20
2	vsSoutheast Missouri State	W31-13	—	8/15	188	2	0	87.3	15	0	0.29
3	@Texas	W44-23	10.5	17/25	177	2	0	81.2	57	1	0.17
5	@Alabama	L0-25	34.1	17/31	159	0	0	15.1	5	0	-0.02
6	@Auburn	L22-30	25.2	25/48	336	2	2	19.0	-8	0	0.09
7	vsTexas A&M	L38-41	20.4	22/36	301	3	1	62.7	27	0	0.14
8	vsLSU	W27-24	28.7	30/39	346	0	0	75.5	18	0	0.59
9	vsIdaho	W59-14	-35.6	15/22	186	2	0	60.6	-8	0	-0.06
11	vsArkansas	W34-24	1.5	27/34	416	3	2	84.0	12	0	0.56
12	vsTroy	W51-21	-14.5	17/26	272	3	0	96.5	66	1	0.39
13	vsMissouri	L10-24	19.3	26/42	244	0	1	49.7	6	0	0.22
14	@Mississippi State	L10-17	10.7	26/40	182	0	3	19.6	31	0	0.11
1	vsGeorgia Tech	W25-17	11.4	22/32	256	1	1	91.3	86	2	0.53

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

52.4%

Passing plays

87.1%

Rushing plays

20.6%

Standard downs

43.2%

Passing downs

73.8%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.11
Passing downs: 0.43
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.26 / 0.18

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2013 — 2014 · 25 games

Season	Team	Line value	WEPA/play	YoY Δ	Total EPA
2013	Ole Miss	2.3	0.225	—	104.4
2014	Ole Miss	5.5	0.400	+0.18	181.0

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.