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Amareon Blue

#15Amareon Blue

Amareon Blue is a Explosive Back for Eastern Michigan. Amareon's 2026 season produced 7.0 total EPA across 38 plays.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.52
    Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.41
    Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Amareon Blue's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2026 Production

Rushing
176 Rush yards1 Rush TD31 Carries5.7 Yards/carry
Receiving
5 Receptions34 Rec yards0 Rec TD6.8 Yards/rec

Air yards

Where the ball goes, and how much of the gain is the throw rather than the run after it.

6
Targets
0.3y
Avg depth
6.2y
After catch
83%
Catch rate

The ball travels 0.3 yards in the air on an average target 8.6 yards shorter than the median. Another 6.2 comes after the catch.

Where he is targeted

targets · completion rate · yards
deep
0
0
0
short
2
100% · 8y
1
100% · 15y
3
67% · 11y
leftmiddleright

Depth and direction come from CFBD’s passing detail, which is backfilled after the games: this covers weeks 1–2 only. Spikes, throwaways and intentional grounding are excluded before any average.

Performance Analysis · 2026 · vs RB peers

  • Efficiency25
  • Volume57
  • Explosiveness54
  • Consistency50
  • Receiving51
Player type
Explosive Back

Elite per-carry efficiency — breaks big runs and creates chunk plays at a top rate while in a limited role.

Big-play threatHigh EPA per carryCapitalises on opportunities
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)25th %ile · below avg
Key findings
  • Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.

NIL Market Tier· 2026

On3 valuation ↗
Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+0.1000.10Wk 1 vs San José State: +0.09 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs Michigan State: -0.09 EPA/play2
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+CarRush YdsAvgRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDEPA/play
0vsSacramento StateW28-17-19.112554.602220
1vsSan José StateL21-27-12.811817.4131200.09
2@Michigan StateL7-351.08405.00-0.09

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
19.8%
Passing plays
5.5%
Rushing plays
41.6%
Standard downs
23.7%
Passing downs
11.5%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.24
Passing downs
-0.06
Pass / Rush EPA
0.03 / 0.21

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.