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Alan Woods III

Alan Woods III

Alan Woods III is a Pass-Catching Back for Kennesaw State.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.52
    Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.41
    Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Alan Woods III's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2026 Production

Rushing
55 Rush yards1 Rush TD15 Carries3.7 Yards/carry
Receiving
5 Receptions17 Rec yards0 Rec TD3.4 Yards/rec

Air yards

Where the ball goes, and how much of the gain is the throw rather than the run after it.

6
Targets
-1.5y
Avg depth
5.4y
After catch
83%
Catch rate

The ball travels -1.5 yards in the air on an average target 10.4 yards shorter than the median. Another 5.4 comes after the catch.

Where he is targeted

targets · completion rate · yards
deep
0
0
0
short
0
2
50% · 1y
4
100% · 16y
leftmiddleright

Depth and direction come from CFBD’s passing detail, which is backfilled after the games: this covers weeks 1–2 only. Spikes, throwaways and intentional grounding are excluded before any average.

Performance Analysis · 2026 · vs RB peers

  • Efficiency0
  • Volume43
  • Explosiveness14
  • Consistency50
  • Receiving100
Player type
Pass-Catching Back

Third-down weapon out of the backfield. Routes, hands, and separation in coverage define this role as much as rushing.

3rd-down backReceiving threatPass protection
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg
Key findings
  • Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.

NIL Market Tier· 2026

On3 valuation ↗
Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+0.3000.30Wk 1 vs West Georgia: +0.26 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs Georgia State: -0.30 EPA/play2
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+CarRush YdsAvgRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDEPA/play
1vsWest GeorgiaW47-011494.5131500.26
2vsGeorgia StateL17-31-22.7461.50220-0.30

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
15.0%
Passing plays
8.6%
Rushing plays
22.7%
Standard downs
12.1%
Passing downs
22.0%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.31
Passing downs
-0.14
Pass / Rush EPA
0.16 / 0.09

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.