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Aaron Philo

#12Aaron Philo

Aaron Philo is a Dual-Threat QB for Georgia Tech.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.46
    Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.51
    Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Aaron Philo's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Passing
21/28 Comp/Att373 Pass yards1 Pass TD1 INT75.0% Comp %
Rushing
19 Rush yards0 Rush TD4 Carries4.8 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs QB peers

  • Efficiency95
  • Volume69
  • Dual-Threat100
  • Consistency50
  • Clutch100
Player type
Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)95th %ile · elite
Key findings
  • Top-10% efficiency among QBs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
  • Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • Peak game: 0.71 EPA/play in Wk 2 vs Gardner-Webb.

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗
Elite

Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+0.7100.71Wk 2 vs Gardner-Webb: +0.71 EPA/play2Wk 9 vs Syracuse: +0.28 EPA/play9
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+C/ATTPass YdsPass TDINTQBRRush YdsRush TDEPA/play
2vsGardner-WebbW59-1221/283731175.91400.71
9vsSyracuseW41-16-13.1500.28

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
24.2%
Passing plays
43.9%
Rushing plays
5.3%
Standard downs
19.1%
Passing downs
42.3%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.27
Passing downs
0.98
Pass / Rush EPA
0.64 / 1.41

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.