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Macklin Celebrini vs Auston Matthews

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Auston Matthews is ahead on 8 of 12 measures. The widest gap is chances for per 60: Auston Matthews sits in the 84th percentile, Macklin Celebrini the 18th.

MeasureCelebriniMatthews
Scoring · NHL
Points55
Goals02
Assists53
Ice time per game22:2022:24
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.2271 pct0.4093 pct
Shot attempts per game5.596 pct5.095 pct
Goals above expected−0.417 pct+0.475 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share53.3%55 pct62.4%81 pct
Chances for per 601.5918 pct3.2484 pct
Chances against per 601.3989 pct1.9565 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.5490 pct+1.0899 pct
Creates per 60+0.3079 pct+0.8599 pct
Prevents per 60+0.2489 pct+0.2489 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 543 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →