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Noah Warren vs Eeli Tolvanen

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Eeli Tolvanen is ahead on 10 of 13 measures. The widest gap is chances against per 60: Noah Warren sits in the 98th percentile, Eeli Tolvanen the 18th.

MeasureWarrenTolvanen
Scoring · NHL
Points13
Goals03
Assists10
Ice time per game12:4513:29
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.002 pct0.1660 pct
Shot attempts per game1.018 pct1.533 pct
Goals above expected0.067 pct+0.475 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share62.6%80 pct41.0%28 pct
Chances for per 601.3312 pct2.2145 pct
Chances against per 600.8098 pct3.1718 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.0442 pct+0.3879 pct
Creates per 600.0038 pct+0.2673 pct
Prevents per 60+0.0452 pct+0.1373 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 519 skaters who have at least 18 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →