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Fraser Minten vs Kirill Marchenko

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Kirill Marchenko is ahead on 11 of 12 measures. The widest gap is goals above expected: Fraser Minten sits in the 75th percentile, Kirill Marchenko the 6th.

MeasureMintenMarchenko
Scoring · NHL
Points23
Goals11
Assists12
Ice time per game15:3619:51
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.1456 pct0.4796 pct
Shot attempts per game2.869 pct4.391 pct
Goals above expected+0.475 pct−0.96 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share55.5%62 pct66.2%89 pct
Chances for per 602.3249 pct2.9676 pct
Chances against per 601.8670 pct1.5186 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.1657 pct+0.4384 pct
Creates per 60+0.1357 pct+0.3382 pct
Prevents per 60+0.0348 pct+0.1066 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 543 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →