Alexis Lafrenière vs Nils Hoglander
Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.
2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far
Rangers · LAlexis LafrenièreChange first player
Rangers skaters
- Will Cuylle
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- J.T. Miller
- Mika Zibanejad
- Gabe Perreault
- Alexis Lafrenière
- Oliver Bjorkstrand
- Eeli Tolvanen
- Tye Kartye
- Adam Fox
- Jaroslav Chmelar
- Sean Durzi
- Noah Laba
- Braden Schneider
- Vladislav Gavrikov
- Alberts Smits
- Marcus Pettersson
- Joseph Veleno
- Matt Rempe
- Cole Beaudoin
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tomas Hertl
- Tage Thompson
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Kyle Connor
- William Nylander
- Will Cuylle
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Steven Stamkos
- Adrian Kempe
- Kirill Marchenko
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- John Tavares
- J.T. Miller
- Sam Reinhart
- Clayton Keller
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Auston Matthews
- Sebastian Aho
Another club (its chance leader)
Predators · LNils HoglanderChange second player
Predators skaters
- Steven Stamkos
- Nils Hoglander
- Adam Edstrom
- Matthew Wood
- Filip Forsberg
- Ryan O'Reilly
- Mavrik Bourque
- Nick Perbix
- Jonathan Marchessault
- Roman Josi
- Adam Wilsby
- Ross Colton
- Alexander Kerfoot
- William Trudeau
- Reid Schaefer
- Nicolas Hague
- Brady Skjei
- Jack Drury
- Ryan Ufko
- Jack Ahcan
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tomas Hertl
- Tage Thompson
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Kyle Connor
- William Nylander
- Will Cuylle
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Steven Stamkos
- Adrian Kempe
- Kirill Marchenko
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- John Tavares
- J.T. Miller
- Sam Reinhart
- Clayton Keller
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Auston Matthews
- Sebastian Aho
Another club (its chance leader)
Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better
Nils Hoglander is ahead on 7 of 12 measures. The widest gap is goals above expected: Nils Hoglander sits in the 98th percentile, Alexis Lafrenière the 44th.
| Measure | Lafrenière | Hoglander |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring · NHL | ||
| Points | 5 | 3 |
| Goals | 3 | 3 |
| Assists | 2 | 0 |
| Ice time per game | 19:08 | 10:56 |
| His chances · ours | ||
| Expected goals per game | 0.2374 pct | 0.3791 pct |
| Shot attempts per game | 2.664 pct | 2.047 pct |
| Goals above expected | −0.144 pct | +1.998 pct |
| With him on the ice · ours | ||
| Chance share | 53.0%54 pct | 66.9%90 pct |
| Chances for per 60 | 2.6161 pct | 4.9199 pct |
| Chances against per 60 | 2.3148 pct | 2.4244 pct |
| 5-on-5 impact · ours | ||
| Net impact per 60 | +0.6092 pct | +0.7196 pct |
| Creates per 60 | +0.4289 pct | +0.4992 pct |
| Prevents per 60 | +0.1881 pct | +0.2287 pct |
How this is measured
Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.
Percentiles compare each skater with the 543 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →