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Vasily Podkolzin vs John Carlson

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Vasily Podkolzin is ahead on 10 of 12 measures. The widest gap is goals above expected: Vasily Podkolzin sits in the 94th percentile, John Carlson the 29th.

MeasurePodkolzinCarlson
Scoring · NHL
Points52
Goals30
Assists22
Ice time per game18:5520:42
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.6699 pct0.0942 pct
Shot attempts per game5.797 pct3.073 pct
Goals above expected+1.094 pct−0.329 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share74.0%98 pct59.1%71 pct
Chances for per 604.5299 pct2.3852 pct
Chances against per 601.5983 pct1.6580 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.4283 pct+0.3273 pct
Creates per 60+0.1053 pct+0.1662 pct
Prevents per 60+0.3295 pct+0.1680 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 543 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →