Mattias Samuelsson vs Noah Cates
Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.
2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far
Sabres · DMattias SamuelssonChange first player
Sabres skaters
- Tage Thompson
- Jack Quinn
- Zach Benson
- Noah Ostlund
- Jiri Kulich
- Josh Norris
- Konsta Helenius
- Rasmus Dahlin
- Ryan McLeod
- Peyton Krebs
- Josh Doan
- Owen Power
- Mattias Samuelsson
- Louis Crevier
- Olen Zellweger
- Beck Malenstyn
- Sam Carrick
- Matt Grzelcyk
- Justin Danforth
- Zach Metsa
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tomas Hertl
- Tage Thompson
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Kyle Connor
- William Nylander
- Will Cuylle
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Steven Stamkos
- Adrian Kempe
- Kirill Marchenko
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- John Tavares
- J.T. Miller
- Sam Reinhart
- Clayton Keller
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Auston Matthews
- Sebastian Aho
Another club (its chance leader)
Flyers · LNoah CatesChange second player
Flyers skaters
- Tyson Foerster
- Trevor Zegras
- Christian Dvorak
- Travis Konecny
- Alex Bump
- Matvei Michkov
- Owen Tippett
- Noel Acciari
- Carl Grundstrom
- Rasmus Ristolainen
- Cam York
- Porter Martone
- Travis Sanheim
- David Jiricek
- Noah Cates
- Sean Couturier
- Nick Seeler
- Simon Benoit
- Denver Barkey
- Jamie Drysdale
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tomas Hertl
- Tage Thompson
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Kyle Connor
- William Nylander
- Will Cuylle
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Steven Stamkos
- Adrian Kempe
- Kirill Marchenko
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- John Tavares
- J.T. Miller
- Sam Reinhart
- Clayton Keller
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Auston Matthews
- Sebastian Aho
Another club (its chance leader)
Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better
Mattias Samuelsson is ahead on 9 of 13 measures. The widest gap is prevents per 60: Noah Cates sits in the 92nd percentile, Mattias Samuelsson the 37th.
| Measure | Samuelsson | Cates |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring · NHL | ||
| Points | 2 | 0 |
| Goals | 1 | 0 |
| Assists | 1 | 0 |
| Ice time per game | 21:44 | 12:29 |
| His chances · ours | ||
| Expected goals per game | 0.0628 pct | 0.0212 pct |
| Shot attempts per game | 2.357 pct | 1.015 pct |
| Goals above expected | +0.889 pct | −0.149 pct |
| With him on the ice · ours | ||
| Chance share | 53.8%57 pct | 37.3%17 pct |
| Chances for per 60 | 2.4455 pct | 1.156 pct |
| Chances against per 60 | 2.0959 pct | 1.9365 pct |
| 5-on-5 impact · ours | ||
| Net impact per 60 | −0.2314 pct | +0.2666 pct |
| Creates per 60 | −0.2112 pct | −0.0235 pct |
| Prevents per 60 | −0.0237 pct | +0.2792 pct |
How this is measured
Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.
Percentiles compare each skater with the 543 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →