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Ryan McLeod vs Connor McDavid

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Connor McDavid is ahead on 12 of 13 measures. The widest gap is goals above expected: Connor McDavid sits in the 71st percentile, Ryan McLeod the 15th.

MeasureMcLeodMcDavid
Scoring · NHL
Points19
Goals02
Assists17
Ice time per game14:1923:44
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.1763 pct0.2274 pct
Shot attempts per game1.325 pct2.766 pct
Goals above expected−0.515 pct+0.371 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share60.5%75 pct70.6%95 pct
Chances for per 602.7867 pct3.4890 pct
Chances against per 601.8272 pct1.4588 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.4283 pct+0.7195 pct
Creates per 60+0.3180 pct+0.6598 pct
Prevents per 60+0.1169 pct+0.0554 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 543 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →