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Anthony Cirelli vs Dylan Larkin

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Dylan Larkin is ahead on 8 of 10 measures. The widest gap is expected goals per game: Dylan Larkin sits in the 99th percentile, Anthony Cirelli the 47th.

MeasureCirelliLarkin
Scoring · NHL
Points02
Goals01
Assists01
Ice time per game18:0320:41
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.1147 pct0.7599 pct
Shot attempts per game2.047 pct7.099 pct
Goals above expected−0.325 pct+0.269 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share68.6%93 pct—
Chances for per 603.6193 pct—
Chances against per 601.6580 pct—
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.0847 pct+0.0745 pct
Creates per 60+0.0343 pct+0.1460 pct
Prevents per 60+0.0553 pct−0.0828 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 543 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →