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Sebastian Aho vs Cale Makar

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Sebastian Aho is ahead on 9 of 13 measures. The widest gap is creates per 60: Sebastian Aho sits in the 95th percentile, Cale Makar the 23rd.

MeasureAhoMakar
Scoring · NHL
Points73
Goals41
Assists32
Ice time per game20:0019:09
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.3992 pct0.2781 pct
Shot attempts per game5.395 pct2.562 pct
Goals above expected+2.499 pct+0.576 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share62.8%82 pct70.7%95 pct
Chances for per 602.6662 pct3.3086 pct
Chances against per 601.5884 pct1.3790 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.7095 pct+0.0745 pct
Creates per 60+0.5695 pct−0.0923 pct
Prevents per 60+0.1474 pct+0.1578 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 543 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →