Erik Cernak vs William Karlsson
Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.
2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far
Change first player
Lightning skaters
- Brandon Hagel
- Brayden Point
- Jake Guentzel
- Nikita Kucherov
- Pontus Holmberg
- Gage Goncalves
- Ilya Mikheyev
- Conor Geekie
- J.J. Moser
- Anthony Cirelli
- Jeffrey Viel
- John Carlson
- Erik Cernak
- Victor Hedman
- Jansen Harkins
- Zemgus Girgensons
- Charle-Edouard D'Astous
- Max Crozier
- Emil Lilleberg
- Ryan McDonagh
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tomas Hertl
- Tage Thompson
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Kyle Connor
- William Nylander
- Will Cuylle
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Steven Stamkos
- Adrian Kempe
- Kirill Marchenko
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- John Tavares
- J.T. Miller
- Sam Reinhart
- Clayton Keller
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Auston Matthews
- Sebastian Aho
Another club (its chance leader)
Change second player
Golden Knights skaters
- Tomas Hertl
- Brett Howden
- William Karlsson
- Victor Olofsson
- Mark Stone
- Mitch Marner
- Jack Eichel
- Trevor Connelly
- Braeden Bowman
- Marc Gatcomb
- Shea Theodore
- Ivan Barbashev
- Noah Hanifin
- Nic Dowd
- Rasmus Andersson
- Brayden McNabb
- Jeremy Lauzon
- Parker Wotherspoon
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tomas Hertl
- Tage Thompson
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Kyle Connor
- William Nylander
- Will Cuylle
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Steven Stamkos
- Adrian Kempe
- Kirill Marchenko
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- John Tavares
- J.T. Miller
- Sam Reinhart
- Clayton Keller
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Auston Matthews
- Sebastian Aho
Another club (its chance leader)
Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better
William Karlsson is ahead on 6 of 10 measures. The widest gap is net impact per 60: William Karlsson sits in the 97th percentile, Erik Cernak the 9th.
| Measure | Cernak | Karlsson |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring · NHL | ||
| Points | 0 | 0 |
| Goals | 0 | 0 |
| Assists | 0 | 0 |
| Ice time per game | 19:36 | 18:41 |
| His chances · ours | ||
| Expected goals per game | 0.0736 pct | 0.3288 pct |
| Shot attempts per game | 2.357 pct | 3.376 pct |
| Goals above expected | −0.233 pct | −1.32 pct |
| With him on the ice · ours | ||
| Chance share | 65.4%87 pct | 62.3%80 pct |
| Chances for per 60 | 3.0378 pct | 2.5558 pct |
| Chances against per 60 | 1.6083 pct | 1.5485 pct |
| 5-on-5 impact · ours | ||
| Net impact per 60 | −0.339 pct | +0.7397 pct |
| Creates per 60 | −0.452 pct | +0.2978 pct |
| Prevents per 60 | +0.1269 pct | +0.4499 pct |
How this is measured
Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.
Percentiles compare each skater with the 543 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →










































