Connor McDavid vs Brady Tkachuk
Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.
2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far
Oilers · CConnor McDavidChange first player
Oilers skaters
- Leon Draisaitl
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Evan Bouchard
- Connor McDavid
- Kasperi Kapanen
- Max Jones
- Trent Frederic
- Alex Formenton
- Isaac Howard
- Colton Dach
- Owen Michaels
- Mathieu Joseph
- Zach Hyman
- Ryan Shea
- Mattias Ekholm
- Josh Samanski
- Jake Walman
- Connor Murphy
- Shakir Mukhamadullin
- Ty Emberson
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tomas Hertl
- Tage Thompson
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Kyle Connor
- William Nylander
- Will Cuylle
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Steven Stamkos
- Adrian Kempe
- Kirill Marchenko
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- John Tavares
- J.T. Miller
- Sam Reinhart
- Clayton Keller
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Auston Matthews
- Sebastian Aho
Another club (its chance leader)
Panthers · LBrady TkachukChange second player
Panthers skaters
- Sam Reinhart
- Carter Verhaeghe
- Brady Tkachuk
- Sandis Vilmanis
- Eetu Luostarinen
- Matthew Tkachuk
- Sam Bennett
- Seth Jones
- Anton Lundell
- Brad Marchand
- Lars Eller
- Niko Mikkola
- Aaron Ekblad
- Garnet Hathaway
- Aleksander Barkov
- Gustav Forsling
- Radko Gudas
- Uvis Balinskis
- Dmitry Kulikov
- Bokondji Imama
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tomas Hertl
- Tage Thompson
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Kyle Connor
- William Nylander
- Will Cuylle
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Steven Stamkos
- Adrian Kempe
- Kirill Marchenko
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- John Tavares
- J.T. Miller
- Sam Reinhart
- Clayton Keller
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Auston Matthews
- Sebastian Aho
Another club (its chance leader)
Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better
Brady Tkachuk is ahead on 7 of 13 measures. The widest gap is goals above expected: Connor McDavid sits in the 71st percentile, Brady Tkachuk the 3rd.
| Measure | McDavid | Tkachuk |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring · NHL | ||
| Points | 9 | 0 |
| Goals | 2 | 0 |
| Assists | 7 | 0 |
| Ice time per game | 23:44 | 17:21 |
| His chances · ours | ||
| Expected goals per game | 0.2274 pct | 0.2781 pct |
| Shot attempts per game | 2.766 pct | 4.391 pct |
| Goals above expected | +0.371 pct | −1.13 pct |
| With him on the ice · ours | ||
| Chance share | 70.6%95 pct | 73.5%97 pct |
| Chances for per 60 | 3.4890 pct | 1.9034 pct |
| Chances against per 60 | 1.4588 pct | 0.6999 pct |
| 5-on-5 impact · ours | ||
| Net impact per 60 | +0.7195 pct | +0.9299 pct |
| Creates per 60 | +0.6598 pct | +0.6698 pct |
| Prevents per 60 | +0.0554 pct | +0.2691 pct |
How this is measured
Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.
Percentiles compare each skater with the 543 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →