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Connor McDavid vs Cody Ceci

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Connor McDavid is ahead on 13 of 13 measures. The widest gap is net impact per 60: Connor McDavid sits in the 95th percentile, Cody Ceci the 9th.

MeasureMcDavidCeci
Scoring · NHL
Points91
Goals20
Assists71
Ice time per game23:4417:44
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.2274 pct0.0316 pct
Shot attempts per game2.766 pct1.325 pct
Goals above expected+0.371 pct−0.150 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share70.6%95 pct46.5%38 pct
Chances for per 603.4890 pct2.4254 pct
Chances against per 601.4588 pct2.7828 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.7195 pct−0.339 pct
Creates per 60+0.6598 pct−0.1419 pct
Prevents per 60+0.0554 pct−0.1913 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 543 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →