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Gustav Forsling vs Auston Matthews

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Auston Matthews is ahead on 11 of 13 measures. The widest gap is expected goals per game: Auston Matthews sits in the 93rd percentile, Gustav Forsling the 15th.

MeasureForslingMatthews
Scoring · NHL
Points15
Goals12
Assists03
Ice time per game21:2922:24
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.0315 pct0.4093 pct
Shot attempts per game1.736 pct5.095 pct
Goals above expected+0.992 pct+0.475 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share43.9%31 pct62.4%81 pct
Chances for per 601.2810 pct3.2484 pct
Chances against per 601.6481 pct1.9565 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.1556 pct+1.0899 pct
Creates per 60+0.0241 pct+0.8599 pct
Prevents per 60+0.1372 pct+0.2489 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 543 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →