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Dylan DeMelo vs Erik Karlsson

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Dylan DeMelo is ahead on 7 of 13 measures. The widest gap is goals above expected: Dylan DeMelo sits in the 93rd percentile, Erik Karlsson the 31st.

MeasureDeMeloKarlsson
Scoring · NHL
Points24
Goals10
Assists14
Ice time per game22:0321:12
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.0211 pct0.0840 pct
Shot attempts per game1.325 pct3.379 pct
Goals above expected+0.993 pct−0.231 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share53.3%55 pct52.0%51 pct
Chances for per 602.8570 pct2.9073 pct
Chances against per 602.5040 pct2.6833 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.0846 pct−0.0135 pct
Creates per 60−0.0333 pct+0.2575 pct
Prevents per 60+0.1167 pct−0.276 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 543 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →