Brock Nelson vs Jake Evans
Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.
2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far
Avalanche · CBrock NelsonChange first player
Avalanche skaters
- Nathan MacKinnon
- Martin Necas
- Artturi Lehkonen
- Nicolas Roy
- Jaden Schwartz
- Cale Makar
- Nazem Kadri
- T.J. Hughes
- Fedor Svechkov
- Sam Malinski
- Brock Nelson
- Parker Kelly
- Brent Burns
- Gabriel Landeskog
- Josh Manson
- Noah Juulsen
- Devon Toews
- Brett Kulak
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tomas Hertl
- Tage Thompson
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Kyle Connor
- William Nylander
- Will Cuylle
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Steven Stamkos
- Adrian Kempe
- Kirill Marchenko
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- John Tavares
- J.T. Miller
- Sam Reinhart
- Clayton Keller
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Auston Matthews
- Sebastian Aho
Another club (its chance leader)
Canadiens · CJake EvansChange second player
Canadiens skaters
- Josh Anderson
- Chris Kreider
- Nick Suzuki
- Zachary Bolduc
- Phillip Danault
- Cole Caufield
- Juraj Slafkovský
- Jake Evans
- Alex Newhook
- Mike Matheson
- Ivan Demidov
- Lane Hutson
- Noah Dobson
- Alexandre Carrier
- Alexandre Texier
- Florian Xhekaj
- Kirby Dach
- Jayden Struble
- Arber Xhekaj
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tomas Hertl
- Tage Thompson
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Kyle Connor
- William Nylander
- Will Cuylle
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Steven Stamkos
- Adrian Kempe
- Kirill Marchenko
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- John Tavares
- J.T. Miller
- Sam Reinhart
- Clayton Keller
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Auston Matthews
- Sebastian Aho
Another club (its chance leader)
Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better
Brock Nelson is ahead on 8 of 13 measures. The widest gap is goals above expected: Brock Nelson sits in the 89th percentile, Jake Evans the 17th.
| Measure | Nelson | Evans |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring · NHL | ||
| Points | 3 | 0 |
| Goals | 1 | 0 |
| Assists | 2 | 0 |
| Ice time per game | 17:43 | 14:35 |
| His chances · ours | ||
| Expected goals per game | 0.0941 pct | 0.1557 pct |
| Shot attempts per game | 1.015 pct | 1.736 pct |
| Goals above expected | +0.889 pct | −0.417 pct |
| With him on the ice · ours | ||
| Chance share | 59.7%73 pct | 60.6%75 pct |
| Chances for per 60 | 3.1782 pct | 2.5358 pct |
| Chances against per 60 | 2.1357 pct | 1.6480 pct |
| 5-on-5 impact · ours | ||
| Net impact per 60 | +0.6493 pct | +0.3475 pct |
| Creates per 60 | +0.4892 pct | +0.0647 pct |
| Prevents per 60 | +0.1680 pct | +0.2792 pct |
How this is measured
Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.
Percentiles compare each skater with the 543 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →