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Sabres at Sharks
NHL

Buffalo Sabres at San Jose Sharks

NHL scoreboard
Buffalo Sabres
▸5
San Jose Sharks
0
FinalTV MSG-B, NBCSCA·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The Buffalo Sabres beat the San Jose Sharks 5-0. The Sabres scored first and never trailed. The Sabres led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Noah Ostlund's goal at 9:05 of the second period, which took the Sabres' chances from 47% to 66%. Expected goals favored the Sabres, 2.2 to 1.8; shots on goal were BUF 16, SJS 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sabres win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Alex Lyon stopped 23 of 23 (1.000), 1.8 goals saved above expected; Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 11 of 16 (.688), 2.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Alex Lyon (23 saves, 1.000), 2. Rasmus Dahlin (1 G, 1 A), 3. Mattias Samuelsson (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BUF
    A. Lyon23 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    BUF
    R. Dahlin1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    BUF
    M. Samuelsson1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BUFBUF053328516
SJSSJS0701006023

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. BUF
    N. Ostlund(11)
    J. Doan (24), L. Stanley (13)
    wristxG 0.28win prob +19 ptsVideo
    1-0
    9:05
  2. BUF
    S. Carrick(7)
    R. Dahlin (48), Z. Benson (23)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-0
    9:41
  3. BUF
    R. Dahlin(14)
    J. Zucker (17), M. Samuelsson (26)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +10 ptsVideo
    3-0
    10:48

3rd period

  1. BUF
    T. Thompson(35)
    P. Krebs (23), A. Tuch (30)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +3 ptsVideo
    4-0
    0:40
  2. BUF
    S. Carrick(8)
    L. Stanley (14), Z. Metsa (3)
    deflectedxG 0.18Video
    5-0
    16:54

Penalties

BUF 4 PIM·SJS 4 PIM

1st

  • 10:56SJSAlexander Wennberg · High stickingdrawn by Tage Thompson2 min
  • 16:09BUFJason Zucker · High stickingdrawn by Kiefer Sherwood2 min

2nd

  • 4:38BUFOwen Power · Holdingdrawn by Pavol Regenda2 min

3rd

  • 13:40SJSBarclay Goodrow · Slashingdrawn by Peyton Krebs2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalBUF goalFinal: SJS 0%

Biggest swing: Noah Ostlund, 2nd 9:05 — BUF 47% → 66%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
W. Smith · On goal · xG 0.16M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.16K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.11C. Graf · Missed · xG 0.11K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.10W. Smith · Missed · xG 0.09M. Misa · Missed · xG 0.08B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.07B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.07W. Smith · On goal · xG 0.07T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.07B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.07M. Celebrini · Missed · xG 0.06W. Eklund · On goal · xG 0.06A. Gaudette · Missed · xG 0.05K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.05Z. Ostapchuk · On goal · xG 0.05P. Regenda · Missed · xG 0.04W. Smith · On goal · xG 0.04N. Leddy · Missed · xG 0.03S. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.03K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.03D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.03Z. Ostapchuk · On goal · xG 0.02S. Dickinson · Missed · xG 0.02D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.02N. Leddy · On goal · xG 0.02W. Eklund · On goal · xG 0.01N. Leddy · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ferraro · On goal · xG 0.01V. Desharnais · On goal · xG 0.01C. Graf · On goal · xG 0.01C. Graf · Missed · xG 0.01D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.01
SJS0 G · 1.8 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BUFvsSJS
2.25 G
All situations
0 G1.8
2.15 G
Even strength
0 G1.5
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 60 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BUF59%41%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.19 – 1.75

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BUFvsSJS
16
Shots on goal
23
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
14
Hits
27
14
Blocked shots
16
10
Giveaways
19
4
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Buffalo Sabres skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4B. ByramD000+110.32100—24:07
25O. PowerD000+100.00032—20:47
26R. DahlinD112+210.15000—19:15
23M. SamuelssonD011+210.01010—18:36
64L. StanleyD022+210.02120—18:06
89A. TuchR011+100.06120—17:36
72T. ThompsonC101+110.263002516:50
86N. OstlundC101+120.510105016:06
71R. McLeodC000+100.000004015:58
73Z. MetsaD011+200.01010—15:48
91J. DoanR011+120.14010—15:17
22J. QuinnR000+120.17110—14:55
9J. NorrisC000+100.001105314:54
19P. KrebsC011+100.00210014:17
17J. ZuckerL011+120.08002—14:08
29B. MalenstynL000+200.07300—13:54
10S. CarrickC202+230.400008913:27
6Z. BensonL011+200.00100—11:59
Buffalo Sabres goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34A. Lyon(W)232301.0001.77+1.7760:00

Season series

BUF leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).