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Sharks at Sabres
NHL

San Jose Sharks at Buffalo Sabres

NHL scoreboard
San Jose Sharks
3
Buffalo Sabres
▸6
FinalTV MSG-B, NBCSCA·KeyBank Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Buffalo Sabres beat the San Jose Sharks 6-3. The Sabres scored first and never trailed. The Sabres led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Beck Malenstyn's goal at 4:59 of the second period, which took the Sabres' chances from 70% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Sabres, 3.9 to 2.5; shots on goal were SJS 20, BUF 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sabres win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Yaroslav Askarov stopped 20 of 25 (.800), 1.9 goals below expected; Alex Lyon stopped 17 of 20 (.850), 0.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jack Quinn (3 G, 1 A), 2. Jason Zucker (1 G, 1 A), 3. Beck Malenstyn (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BUF
    J. Quinn3 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    BUF
    J. Zucker1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    BUF
    B. Malenstyn1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SJSSJS151817320
BUFBUF2821226626

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. BUF
    J. Quinn(13)
    J. Zucker (16), R. McLeod (34)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    4:12
  2. BUF
    A. Tuch(28)
    R. Dahlin (45), M. Samuelsson (24)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    5:39
  3. SJS
    M. Celebrini(33)
    W. Smith (26)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-2
    12:54

2nd period

  1. BUF
    B. Malenstyn(6)
    P. Krebs (21), R. Dahlin (46)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    4:59
  2. BUF
    J. Zucker(20)
    J. Quinn (28), O. Power (16)
    backhandxG 0.59win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-4
    8:51
  3. SJS
    K. Sherwood(20)
    M. Ferraro (11), A. Wennberg (28)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +6 ptsVideo
    2-4
    19:29

3rd period

  1. BUF
    J. Quinn(14)
    R. McLeod (35), R. Dahlin (47)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +7 ptsVideo
    2-5
    0:42
  2. SJS
    A. Wennberg(13)PPG
    T. Toffoli (24)
    backhandxG 0.19win prob +3 ptsVideo
    3-5
    6:56
  3. BUF
    J. Quinn(15)EN
    R. McLeod (36)
    wristxG 0.81win prob +1 ptsVideo
    3-6
    17:14

Penalties

SJS 24 PIM·BUF 18 PIM

1st

  • 15:34SJSZack Ostapchuk · Fightingdrawn by Logan Stanley5 min
  • 15:34BUFLogan Stanley · Fightingdrawn by Zack Ostapchuk5 min
  • 15:56SJSBarclay Goodrow · Instigatordrawn by Beck Malenstyn2 min
  • 15:56BUFBeck Malenstyn · Fightingdrawn by Barclay Goodrow5 min
  • 15:56SJSBarclay Goodrow · Fightingdrawn by Beck Malenstyn5 min
  • 15:56SJSBarclay Goodrow · Instigator misconduct10 min

2nd

  • 13:55BUFZach Benson · Roughingdrawn by Dmitry Orlov2 min
  • 13:55SJSDmitry Orlov · Roughingdrawn by Zach Benson2 min
  • 13:55BUFTage Thompson · Roughingdrawn by Dmitry Orlov2 min

3rd

  • 6:50BUFJason Zucker · Interferencedrawn by Kiefer Sherwood2 min
  • 10:35BUFLogan Stanley · High stickingdrawn by Kiefer Sherwood2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BUF goalSJS goalFinal: BUF 100%

Biggest swing: Beck Malenstyn, 2nd 4:59 — BUF 70% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Quinn · Goal · xG 0.81J. Zucker · Goal · xG 0.59T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.18B. Malenstyn · Goal · xG 0.16Z. Benson · On goal · xG 0.14J. Doan · On goal · xG 0.14T. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.13B. Malenstyn · On goal · xG 0.12S. Carrick · Missed · xG 0.12A. Tuch · Missed · xG 0.11A. Tuch · Goal · xG 0.10J. Doan · Missed · xG 0.09N. Ostlund · Missed · xG 0.09O. Power · On goal · xG 0.09A. Tuch · Missed · xG 0.09R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.09J. Quinn · Goal · xG 0.08O. Power · Missed · xG 0.08J. Quinn · Goal · xG 0.07Z. Benson · On goal · xG 0.07J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.06N. Ostlund · On goal · xG 0.06J. Doan · On goal · xG 0.06N. Ostlund · Missed · xG 0.05P. Krebs · On goal · xG 0.05R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Benson · Missed · xG 0.03R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.03N. Ostlund · On goal · xG 0.03M. Kesselring · On goal · xG 0.03N. Ostlund · On goal · xG 0.02P. Krebs · On goal · xG 0.02L. Stanley · Missed · xG 0.02J. Quinn · On goal · xG 0.02J. Quinn · Missed · xG 0.02M. Kesselring · On goal · xG 0.01R. McLeod · Missed · xG 0.01P. Krebs · On goal · xG 0.01T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.01
BUF6 G · 3.9 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SJSvsBUF
2.53 G
All situations
5 G3.9
1.72 G
Even strength
5 G3.1
0.81 G
Power play
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SJS40%60%BUF

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.47 – 3.02

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SJSvsBUF
20
Shots on goal
26
49%
Faceoffs
51%
1/3
Power play
0/1
24
Penalty minutes
18
23
Hits
21
16
Blocked shots
14
17
Giveaways
14
4
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
San Jose Sharks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
71M. CelebriniC101-110.190302424:25
9D. OrlovD000-300.30012—21:09
2W. SmithC011-120.110005020:49
38M. FerraroD011000.00130—20:46
6S. DickinsonD000-100.02200—19:31
85S. MukhamadullinD000010.09210—17:59
3J. KlingbergD000-200.02210—17:56
51C. GrafR000020.26110—17:41
5V. DesharnaisD000-110.01120—17:26
21A. WennbergC112-440.420006717:12
44K. SherwoodL101-310.06500—16:29
72W. EklundL000-120.1611010016:29
73T. ToffoliC011-130.65000015:38
77M. MisaC000010.061004314:06
96P. KurashevC000-300.002005012:29
81A. GaudetteR000000.010208010:55
23B. GoodrowC000010.013017009:03
63Z. OstapchukC000010.122155009:01
San Jose Sharks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30Y. Askarov(L)25205.8003.11-1.8958:56

Season series

BUF leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).