New York Islanders at Columbus Blue Jackets
Recap
written from the game dataThe New York Islanders beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 4-3 in overtime, Simon Holmstrom scoring at 1:47. The Islanders came back from two goals down. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Simon Holmstrom's goal at 1:47 of overtime, which took the Islanders' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 2.8 to 2.5; shots on goal were NYI 27, CBJ 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Ilya Sorokin stopped 27 of 30 (.900), 0.5 goals below expected; Jet Greaves stopped 23 of 27 (.852), 1.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Simon Holmstrom (1 G), 2. Zach Werenski (2 A), 3. Scott Mayfield (1 G, 1 A).
Three stars
- ★S. Holmstrom1 G

- ★★Z. Werenski2 A

- ★★★S. Mayfield1 G, 1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
7 goals1st period
0-12:30
2nd period
0-23:58
1-211:37
2-211:59
3-217:10
3-318:58
Overtime
4-31:47
Penalties
2nd
- 11:59
served by M. Marchment · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
- 13:53
Boone Jenner · Trippingdrawn by Emil Heineman2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Simon Holmstrom, OT 1:47 — 49% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.84 G
- All situations
- 3 G2.5
- 2.64 G
- Even strength
- 3 G2.5
- 0.20 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.72 – 2.42
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 27
- Shots on goal
- 30
- 57%
- Faceoffs
- 43%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 0/0
- 0
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 22
- Hits
- 32
- 20
- Blocked shots
- 20
- 9
- Giveaways
- 20
- 4
- Takeaways
- 4
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
