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Islanders at Blue Jackets
NHL

New York Islanders at Columbus Blue Jackets

FinalTV FDSNOH, MSGSN·Nationwide Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Columbus Blue Jackets beat the New York Islanders 4-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Islanders led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kirill Marchenko's goal at 16:41 of the third period, which took the Blue Jackets' chances from 52% to 93%. Expected goals favored the Blue Jackets, 5.1 to 1.8; shots on goal were NYI 26, CBJ 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blue Jackets win a replay of these chances 88% of the time. David Rittich stopped 31 of 34 (.912), 1.7 goals saved above expected; Jet Greaves stopped 24 of 26 (.923). Three stars: 1. Kirill Marchenko (2 G), 2. Ivan Provorov (1 G), 3. Jet Greaves (24 saves, .923).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CBJ
    K. Marchenko2 G
  2. ★★
    CBJ
    I. Provorov1 G
  3. ★★★
    CBJ
    J. Greaves24 saves, .923

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI1911106226
CBJCBJ11506314435

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. CBJ
    snapxG 0.14win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    8:09
  2. NYI
    wristxG 0.21win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    17:16

2nd period

  1. NYI
    wristxG 0.08win prob +20 ptsVideo
    2-1
    13:24

3rd period

  1. CBJ
    snapxG 0.02win prob +40 ptsVideo
    2-2
    15:27
  2. CBJ
    backhandxG 0.03win prob +41 ptsVideo
    2-3
    16:41
  3. CBJ
    wristxG 0.41win prob +5 ptsVideo
    2-4
    18:54

Penalties

NYI 21 PIM·CBJ 8 PIM

1st

  • 9:12NYIMathew Barzal · Hookingdrawn by Miles Wood2 min
  • 18:11CBJMason Marchment · Roughingdrawn by Matthew Schaefer2 min

2nd

  • 1:37CBJMason Marchment · Trippingdrawn by Matthew Schaefer2 min
  • 1:37NYIMathew Barzal · Slashingdrawn by Mason Marchment5 min
  • 1:37NYIMathew Barzal · Game misconduct10 min
  • 1:43NYIAdam Pelech · Trippingdrawn by Miles Wood2 min
  • 4:31CBJMason Marchment · Trippingdrawn by Simon Holmstrom2 min
  • 15:44CBJKent Johnson · Interferencedrawn by Scott Mayfield2 min

3rd

  • 4:47NYIAnders Lee · Slashingdrawn by Denton Mateychuk2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CBJ goalNYI goalFinal: CBJ 100%

Biggest swing: Kirill Marchenko, 3rd 16:41 — CBJ 52% → 93%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Sillinger · Goal · xG 0.41D. Voronkov · On goal · xG 0.31K. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.25K. Marchenko · On goal · xG 0.23S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.19K. Marchenko · On goal · xG 0.18D. Voronkov · On goal · xG 0.17I. Provorov · Missed · xG 0.16B. Gaunce · Missed · xG 0.15A. Fantilli · On goal · xG 0.15B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.14M. Wood · Missed · xG 0.14A. Fantilli · On goal · xG 0.14D. Voronkov · Missed · xG 0.14K. Marchenko · Goal · xG 0.14D. Voronkov · Missed · xG 0.14A. Fantilli · On goal · xG 0.13A. Fantilli · On goal · xG 0.13M. Marchment · Missed · xG 0.11D. Voronkov · On goal · xG 0.11M. Olivier · Missed · xG 0.10S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.10C. Sillinger · On goal · xG 0.10K. Marchenko · Missed · xG 0.09M. Olivier · On goal · xG 0.07K. Marchenko · Missed · xG 0.07A. Fantilli · On goal · xG 0.06D. Fabbro · On goal · xG 0.06D. Mateychuk · Missed · xG 0.06B. Jenner · Missed · xG 0.06B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.06I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.06D. Mateychuk · On goal · xG 0.05D. Voronkov · On goal · xG 0.05M. Wood · Missed · xG 0.05M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.04B. Jenner · Missed · xG 0.04D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.04D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.04D. Severson · Missed · xG 0.04C. Coyle · Missed · xG 0.04A. Fantilli · On goal · xG 0.04A. Fantilli · Missed · xG 0.04M. Olivier · On goal · xG 0.03K. Marchenko · Goal · xG 0.03D. Mateychuk · On goal · xG 0.02I. Provorov · Goal · xG 0.02D. Fabbro · Missed · xG 0.02K. Marchenko · On goal · xG 0.02K. Marchenko · Missed · xG 0.01J. Christiansen · Missed · xG 0.01M. Olivier · Missed · xG 0.01A. Fantilli · On goal · xG 0.00A. Fantilli · On goal · xG 0.00D. Voronkov · On goal · xG 0.00I. Provorov · Missed · xG 0.00
CBJ4 G · 5.1 xG · 56 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsCBJ
1.82 G
All situations
3 G5.1
1.52 G
Even strength
3 G3.0
0.30 G
Power play
0 G1.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI12%88%CBJ

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.74 – 4.55

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsCBJ
26
Shots on goal
35
56%
Faceoffs
44%
0/2
Power play
0/4
21
Penalty minutes
8
15
Hits
25
20
Blocked shots
17
12
Giveaways
20
5
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
48M. SchaeferD000+150.26130—25:00
6R. PulockD011+110.08080—24:03
14B. HorvatC101-120.122105821:25
3A. PelechD000-320.02122—21:16
51E. HeinemanL000-120.22500—19:17
24S. MayfieldD000-110.06000—17:51
10S. HolmstromR000000.00000—17:43
29J. DrouinL000-100.000003817:35
77T. DeAngeloD000-250.12010—17:25
27A. LeeL000-110.000027516:15
44J. PageauC011010.101105915:19
49M. ShabanovR101010.21100—14:27
53C. CizikasC000-100.080105713:32
41M. WarrenD000010.03010—11:23
11A. DuclairL011000.19010—11:12
32K. MacLeanC000-110.022005009:19
16M. GatcombC000010.15210008:20
13M. BarzalC000-120.0900175008:04
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33D. Rittich(L)34313.9124.68+1.6859:34

Season series

NYI leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).