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Penguins at Sabres
NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins at Buffalo Sabres

NHL scoreboard
Pittsburgh Penguins
▸5
Buffalo Sabres
2
FinalTV SN-PIT, MSG-B·KeyBank Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Buffalo Sabres 5-2. The Sabres scored first; the Penguins answered. The Penguins led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ben Kindel's goal at 7:44 of the second period, which took the Penguins' chances from 65% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 5.4 to 3.2; shots on goal were PIT 32, BUF 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Arturs Silovs stopped 25 of 27 (.926), 1.2 goals saved above expected; Alex Lyon stopped 27 of 31 (.871). Three stars: 1. Avery Hayes (2 G), 2. Ben Kindel (2 G), 3. Tage Thompson (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    A. Hayes2 G
  2. ★★
    PIT
    B. Kindel2 G
  3. ★★★
    BUF
    T. Thompson1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT21017215532
BUFBUF1809110227

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. BUF
    J. Zucker(15)
    R. McLeod (30), B. Byram (18)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    1:46
  2. PIT
    A. Hayes(1)
    I. Solovyov (5), R. McGroarty (3)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-1
    9:18
  3. PIT
    A. Hayes(2)
    A. Mantha (22), P. Wotherspoon (16)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-1
    18:47

2nd period

  1. PIT
    B. Kindel(13)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.10win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-1
    7:44

3rd period

  1. BUF
    T. Thompson(30)PPG
    J. Quinn (25), R. Dahlin (37)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +13 ptsVideo
    3-2
    1:55
  2. PIT
    T. Novak(11)
    E. Chinakhov (7), E. Malkin (31)
    backhandxG 0.48win prob +10 ptsVideo
    4-2
    15:33
  3. PIT
    B. Kindel(14)EN
    C. Dewar (11)
    snapxG 0.87win prob +1 ptsVideo
    5-2
    19:46

Penalties

PIT 15 PIM·BUF 11 PIM

1st

  • 15:54PITEvgeni Malkin · High stickingdrawn by Owen Power2 min
  • 18:59PITRyan Shea · Holdingdrawn by Jason Zucker2 min

2nd

  • 10:03PITSidney Crosby · Cross checkingdrawn by Rasmus Dahlin2 min
  • 17:54BUFAlex Tuch · Trippingdrawn by Arturs Silovs2 min

3rd

  • 1:14PITEvgeni Malkin · Trippingdrawn by Owen Power2 min
  • 4:13BUFMichael Kesselring · Hookingdrawn by Bryan Rust2 min
  • 10:33BUFPeyton Krebs · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Arturs Silovs2 min
  • 10:33PITConnor Clifton · Fightingdrawn by Peyton Krebs5 min
  • 10:33BUFPeyton Krebs · Fightingdrawn by Connor Clifton5 min
  • 18:31PITAnthony Mantha · Hookingdrawn by Owen Power2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BUF goalPIT goalFinal: BUF 0%

Biggest swing: Ben Kindel, 2nd 7:44 — PIT 65% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Doan · Missed · xG 0.33T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.20T. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.18P. Krebs · Missed · xG 0.17B. Malenstyn · On goal · xG 0.16A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.11R. Dahlin · Missed · xG 0.11T. Thompson · Goal · xG 0.11T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.11B. Byram · Missed · xG 0.10A. Tuch · Missed · xG 0.10J. Quinn · Missed · xG 0.09R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.09T. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.08O. Power · On goal · xG 0.08A. Tuch · Missed · xG 0.07J. Quinn · Missed · xG 0.06J. Quinn · On goal · xG 0.06J. Doan · Missed · xG 0.06J. Quinn · On goal · xG 0.06O. Power · On goal · xG 0.05B. Malenstyn · On goal · xG 0.05B. Byram · Missed · xG 0.05J. Doan · Missed · xG 0.05A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.05O. Power · On goal · xG 0.04J. Quinn · Missed · xG 0.04I. Rosen · On goal · xG 0.04I. Rosen · On goal · xG 0.04T. Kozak · On goal · xG 0.04J. Quinn · Missed · xG 0.04T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.04T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.03B. Byram · Missed · xG 0.03J. Quinn · On goal · xG 0.03A. Tuch · Missed · xG 0.03T. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.03J. Zucker · Goal · xG 0.03J. Quinn · On goal · xG 0.03R. Dahlin · Missed · xG 0.02J. Quinn · Missed · xG 0.02R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.01T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.01T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.01T. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.01N. Ostlund · Missed · xG 0.01A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.01B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.00M. Kesselring · On goal · xG 0.00
BUF2 G · 3.2 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsBUF
5.44 G
All situations
2 G3.2
3.14 G
Even strength
1 G2.2
0.50 G
Power play
1 G1.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT57%43%BUF

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.60 – 3.20

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsBUF
32
Shots on goal
27
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/3
Power play
1/5
15
Penalty minutes
11
20
Hits
16
8
Blocked shots
10
17
Giveaways
15
6
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
28P. WotherspoonD011+210.00520—23:37
17B. RustR000000.06130—23:31
65E. KarlssonD000+220.06200—22:47
87S. CrosbyC000+160.580025220:05
5R. SheaD000010.15002—19:29
77B. KulakD000000.00000—18:44
71E. MalkinC011050.730045017:59
81B. KindelC202+221.451004017:27
75C. CliftonD000+300.01525—17:19
39A. ManthaR011+100.20002—16:30
19C. DewarC011+210.481004515:41
18T. NovakC101020.550003315:19
59E. ChinakhovR011030.25000—13:08
7I. SolovyovD011+100.00100—12:08
16J. BrazeauR000+120.16000—11:11
85A. HayesR202+260.60200—10:09
2R. McGroartyR011+100.1011010010:01
13K. HayesR000+110.031003307:07
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37A. Silovs(W)27252.9263.20+1.2059:38

Season series

PIT leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).