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Hurricanes at Capitals
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Washington Capitals

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
3
Washington Capitals
▸4
Final/OTTV FDSNSO, MNMT·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the Carolina Hurricanes 4-3 in overtime, Justin Sourdif scoring at 1:42. The Capitals came back from three goals down. The Hurricanes led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Justin Sourdif's goal at 1:42 of overtime, which took the Capitals' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 5.1 to 2.6; shots on goal were CAR 22, WSH 42. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 81% of the time. Frederik Andersen stopped 38 of 42 (.905), 1.1 goals saved above expected; Clay Stevenson stopped 19 of 22 (.864). Three stars: 1. Justin Sourdif (1 G), 2. Jakob Chychrun (1 G, 1 A), 3. Sebastian Aho (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    J. Sourdif1 G
  2. ★★
    WSH
    J. Chychrun1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    S. Aho1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
CARCAR212150500322
WSHWSH0192711313442

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    M. Jankowski(5)
    W. Carrier (6), J. Kotkaniemi (7)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-0
    13:27
  2. CAR
    S. Aho(18)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.26win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-0
    17:51

2nd period

  1. CAR
    S. Gostisbehere(9)
    J. Martinook (11), J. Staal (11)
    snapxG 0.01win prob +11 ptsVideo
    3-0
    4:16
  2. WSH
    H. Lapierre(2)
    S. Milano (4)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +10 ptsVideo
    3-1
    7:52
  3. WSH
    D. Strome(16)
    A. Protas (17), J. Chychrun (24)
    tip-inxG 0.23win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-2
    14:58

3rd period

  1. WSH
    J. Chychrun(19)
    A. Protas (18), T. Wilson (25)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +36 ptsVideo
    3-3
    13:18

Overtime

  1. WSH
    J. Sourdif(12)
    J. Carlson (35), E. Frank (11)
    snapxG 0.47win prob +49 ptsVideo
    3-4
    1:42

Penalties

CAR 8 PIM·WSH 4 PIM

1st

  • 2:21CARTaylor Hall · Hookingdrawn by Hendrix Lapierre2 min

2nd

  • 9:49CARTaylor Hall · Interferencedrawn by Aliaksei Protas2 min
  • 10:53WSHRyan Leonard · Interferencedrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min
  • 11:21WSHJakob Chychrun · Interferencedrawn by Logan Stankoven2 min
  • 18:27CARTaylor Hall · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 1:59CARSean Walker · Hookingdrawn by Sonny Milano2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalCAR goalFinal: WSH 100%

Biggest swing: Justin Sourdif, OT 1:42 — WSH 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Sourdif · Goal · xG 0.47D. Strome · Goal · xG 0.23N. Dowd · On goal · xG 0.23H. Lapierre · On goal · xG 0.22H. Lapierre · On goal · xG 0.18J. Sourdif · Missed · xG 0.17A. Protas · On goal · xG 0.17A. Protas · Missed · xG 0.16J. Sourdif · On goal · xG 0.16R. Leonard · Missed · xG 0.15A. Protas · On goal · xG 0.14D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.13J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.13H. Lapierre · On goal · xG 0.12R. Leonard · On goal · xG 0.12J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.12A. Beauvillier · Missed · xG 0.12J. Sourdif · Missed · xG 0.11J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.11A. Protas · On goal · xG 0.10A. Protas · Missed · xG 0.10H. Lapierre · Goal · xG 0.09A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.08A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.08E. Frank · Missed · xG 0.08A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.08J. Sourdif · On goal · xG 0.07J. Chychrun · Goal · xG 0.07J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.07J. Sourdif · On goal · xG 0.07N. Dowd · On goal · xG 0.06A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.06D. Strome · Missed · xG 0.06R. Sandin · On goal · xG 0.06B. Duhaime · On goal · xG 0.06S. Milano · On goal · xG 0.06R. Sandin · On goal · xG 0.05R. Leonard · Missed · xG 0.05D. Chisholm · On goal · xG 0.05A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.05T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.04J. Sourdif · On goal · xG 0.04J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.04A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.03A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.03D. McIlrath · On goal · xG 0.03D. Strome · Missed · xG 0.02D. Chisholm · Missed · xG 0.02J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.02D. McIlrath · On goal · xG 0.02A. Beauvillier · Missed · xG 0.01J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.01A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Sourdif · Missed · xG 0.01J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.01T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.01A. Beauvillier · Missed · xG 0.01A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.01S. Milano · On goal · xG 0.01J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.00J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.00J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.00D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH4 G · 5.1 xG · 63 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsWSH
2.63 G
All situations
4 G5.1
2.33 G
Even strength
4 G4.5
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 107 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR19%81%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.63 – 4.91

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsWSH
22
Shots on goal
42
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/2
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
29
Hits
24
18
Blocked shots
10
16
Giveaways
18
6
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5J. ChatfieldD000+100.03010—23:09
19K. MillerD000-130.03120—22:43
74J. SlavinD000020.07030—22:41
26S. WalkerD000000.18332—22:10
20S. AhoC101+120.330006019:25
24S. JarvisR000+140.330005018:48
48J. MartinookL011-100.00010—16:00
4S. GostisbehereD101030.30120—15:59
11J. StaalC011-110.007005015:19
37A. SvechnikovR000+110.44100—15:16
27N. EhlersL000-110.10110—14:58
53J. BlakeR000-200.04000—13:54
71T. HallL000-200.20026—13:41
22L. StankovenC000-120.093002213:37
21A. NikishinD000-110.04310—13:14
77M. JankowskiL101+110.373106212:42
82J. KotkaniemiC011+110.08210012:26
28W. CarrierL011+100.01400—11:04
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31F. Andersen(O)42384.9055.10+1.1061:42

Season series

WSH leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).