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Capitals at Hurricanes
NHL

Washington Capitals at Carolina Hurricanes

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Washington Capitals
▸4
Carolina Hurricanes
1
FinalTV FDSNSO, MNMT·Lenovo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the Carolina Hurricanes 4-1. The Capitals scored first and never trailed. The Capitals led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dylan Strome's goal at 5:59 of the second period, which took the Capitals' chances from 64% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.6 to 3.4; shots on goal were WSH 28, CAR 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Logan Thompson stopped 30 of 31 (.968), 2.6 goals saved above expected; Frederik Andersen stopped 24 of 27 (.889). Three stars: 1. Logan Thompson (30 saves, .968), 2. John Carlson (2 A), 3. Nikolaj Ehlers (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    L. Thompson30 saves, .968
  2. ★★
    WSH
    J. Carlson2 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    N. Ehlers1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH11018210428
CARCAR07114010131

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    B. Duhaime(2)
    E. Frank (3), N. Dowd (4)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    5:42

2nd period

  1. WSH
    D. Strome(5)
    A. Ovechkin (8), J. Carlson (8)
    snapxG 0.25win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-0
    5:59
  2. CAR
    N. Ehlers(3)
    J. Blake (8), S. Gostisbehere (7)
    snapxG 0.28win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-1
    13:56

3rd period

  1. WSH
    J. Chychrun(4)PPG
    R. Leonard (5), J. Carlson (9)
    snapxG 0.28win prob +12 ptsVideo
    3-1
    5:46
  2. WSH
    A. Ovechkin(4)EN
    A. Beauvillier (2)
    wristxG 0.53Video
    4-1
    19:29

Penalties

WSH 17 PIM·CAR 17 PIM

1st

  • 0:55CARK'Andre Miller · Trippingdrawn by Ethen Frank2 min
  • 12:34CARMike Reilly · Trippingdrawn by Jakob Chychrun2 min
  • 15:00CARFrederik Andersen · Roughingdrawn by Nic Dowd2 min
  • 15:00WSHNic Dowd · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Frederik Andersen2 min
  • 15:00WSHMartin Fehérváry · Roughingdrawn by Jackson Blake2 min
  • 15:00WSHMartin Fehérváry · Fightingdrawn by Logan Stankoven5 min
  • 15:00CARLogan Stankoven · Fightingdrawn by Martin Fehérváry5 min
  • 16:58WSHConnor McMichael · Hookingdrawn by Jackson Blake2 min

2nd

  • 0:33WSHJakob Chychrun · Holdingdrawn by Jordan Martinook2 min
  • 10:17CARSean Walker · Hookingdrawn by Ryan Leonard2 min

3rd

  • 5:11CARK'Andre Miller · Trippingdrawn by Connor McMichael2 min
  • 8:13WSHRasmus Sandin · Hookingdrawn by Logan Stankoven2 min
  • 9:10CARSeth Jarvis · Hookingdrawn by John Carlson2 min
  • 16:38WSHJakob Chychrun · Cross checkingdrawn by Andrei Svechnikov2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalWSH goalFinal: CAR 0%

Biggest swing: Dylan Strome, 2nd 5:59 — WSH 64% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Ehlers · Goal · xG 0.29A. Nikishin · Missed · xG 0.26A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.20S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.19J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.18A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.17J. Blake · On goal · xG 0.16J. Blake · Missed · xG 0.15N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.13A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.13A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.12L. Stankoven · Missed · xG 0.11J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.11T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.10J. Blake · Missed · xG 0.09S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.09L. Stankoven · Missed · xG 0.09S. Walker · Missed · xG 0.09J. Blake · On goal · xG 0.09J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.09S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.08J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.08S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.08J. Blake · On goal · xG 0.07J. Blake · Missed · xG 0.05J. Blake · On goal · xG 0.05A. Nikishin · On goal · xG 0.05A. Nikishin · On goal · xG 0.04N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.04A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.03S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.03N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.02S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.02K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02A. Nikishin · Missed · xG 0.02S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.01A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.01K. Miller · Missed · xG 0.01A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.01K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.01N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.01S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.01S. Walker · Missed · xG 0.01A. Nikishin · On goal · xG 0.01A. Nikishin · On goal · xG 0.00J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.00S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR1 G · 3.6 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsCAR
3.43 G
All situations
1 G3.6
1.52 G
Even strength
1 G2.0
1.21 G
Power play
0 G1.6
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH38%62%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.80 – 3.51

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsCAR
28
Shots on goal
31
46%
Faceoffs
54%
1/5
Power play
0/5
17
Penalty minutes
17
13
Hits
22
21
Blocked shots
10
24
Giveaways
20
7
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3M. RoyD000010.02210—25:15
74J. CarlsonD022+210.19040—22:51
43T. WilsonR000020.471006722:02
6J. ChychrunD101-150.41214—19:09
38R. SandinD000+100.00102—19:09
24C. McMichaelL000+120.131024318:06
26N. DowdC011+110.080023117:27
42M. FehérváryD000+210.11017—17:11
22B. DuhaimeL101+110.05270—16:40
21A. ProtasL000010.01020—16:33
17D. StromeC101+110.260007016:12
72A. BeauvillierR011+230.12210—14:53
8A. OvechkinL112+220.76010—14:48
47D. ChisholmD000010.01000—14:02
53E. FrankR011+100.00020—12:37
9R. LeonardR011-150.62000—09:19
34J. SourdifC000-100.001105007:18
29H. LapierreC000-110.11100006:28
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
48L. Thompson(W)31301.9683.62+2.6260:00

Season series

WSH leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).