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Panthers at Canadiens
NHL

Florida Panthers at Montréal Canadiens

FinalTV SCRIPPS, TSN2·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Florida Panthers 6-2. The Canadiens scored first and never trailed. The Canadiens led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alexandre Texier's goal at 13:41 of the second period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 73% to 88%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 3.6 to 3.0; shots on goal were FLA 27, MTL 19. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 74% of the time. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 14 of 19 (.737), 2.9 goals below expected; Samuel Montembeault stopped 25 of 27 (.926), 1.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Alexandre Texier (3 G), 2. Oliver Kapanen (1 G, 2 A), 3. Samuel Montembeault (25 saves, .926).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    A. Texier3 G
  2. ★★
    MTL
    O. Kapanen1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    S. Montembeault25 saves, .926

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA06110111227
MTLMTL281437619

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    slapxG 0.04win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    2:59
  2. MTL
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    17:35

2nd period

  1. FLA
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.01win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    5:33
  2. MTL
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-3
    13:41

3rd period

  1. MTL
    snapxG 0.23win prob +4 ptsVideo
    1-4
    7:26
  2. FLA
    snapxG 0.15win prob +3 ptsVideo
    2-4
    11:23
  3. MTL
    xG 0.89win prob +1 ptsVideo
    2-5
    17:59
  4. MTL
    batxG 0.32Video
    2-6
    19:10

Penalties

FLA 24 PIM·MTL 22 PIM

1st

  • 6:24MTLJuraj Slafkovský · Boardingdrawn by Aaron Ekblad2 min
  • 10:45FLAUvis Balinskis · Interferencedrawn by Cole Caufield2 min
  • 17:41MTLJuraj Slafkovský · Interferencedrawn by Mackie Samoskevich2 min

2nd

  • 16:54FLAAnton Lundell · High sticking double minordrawn by Alexandre Texier4 min

3rd

  • 1:06MTLPhillip Danault · High stickingdrawn by Anton Lundell2 min
  • 4:26FLADonovan Sebrango · Roughingdrawn by Sammy Blais2 min
  • 4:26MTLSammy Blais · High stickingdrawn by Sergei Bobrovsky2 min
  • 9:12FLASam Bennett · Slashingdrawn by Zachary Bolduc2 min
  • 18:45FLADonovan Sebrango · Roughingdrawn by Arber Xhekaj2 min
  • 18:45MTLArber Xhekaj · Roughingdrawn by Donovan Sebrango2 min
  • 18:45MTLOwen Beck · Chargingdrawn by Jack Studnicka2 min
  • 18:45FLADonovan Sebrango · Roughingdrawn by Arber Xhekaj2 min
  • 18:45FLADonovan Sebrango · Misconduct10 min
  • 18:45MTLArber Xhekaj · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalFLA goalFinal: MTL 100%

Biggest swing: Alexandre Texier, 2nd 13:41 — MTL 73% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Slafkovský · Goal · xG 0.89A. Texier · Goal · xG 0.32O. Beck · Missed · xG 0.24A. Texier · Goal · xG 0.23N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.11A. Texier · Goal · xG 0.10C. Caufield · Missed · xG 0.10O. Kapanen · Goal · xG 0.09J. Veleno · On goal · xG 0.09A. Texier · On goal · xG 0.08Z. Bolduc · On goal · xG 0.08A. Texier · On goal · xG 0.06B. Gallagher · Missed · xG 0.06A. Texier · Missed · xG 0.06I. Demidov · Missed · xG 0.05O. Beck · Missed · xG 0.04C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.04N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.04N. Dobson · Goal · xG 0.04S. Blais · Missed · xG 0.03A. Texier · On goal · xG 0.03N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.03I. Demidov · Missed · xG 0.03O. Kapanen · Missed · xG 0.03N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.02N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Veleno · On goal · xG 0.02B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.02A. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.02A. Xhekaj · Missed · xG 0.02B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.02J. Slafkovský · Missed · xG 0.01M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.00
MTL6 G · 3.0 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsMTL
3.62 G
All situations
6 G3.0
3.02 G
Even strength
6 G1.5
0.50 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA74%26%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.49 – 2.10

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsMTL
27
Shots on goal
19
58%
Faceoffs
42%
0/3
Power play
0/4
24
Penalty minutes
22
18
Hits
18
11
Blocked shots
20
18
Giveaways
10
4
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
13S. ReinhartC000-220.14210024:16
42G. ForslingD000010.01310—23:46
5A. EkbladD000-100.00110—23:32
77N. MikkolaD011000.02000—21:02
9S. BennettC202-140.391025220:16
15A. LundellC000-150.570046819:55
27E. LuostarinenC000010.07310019:36
26U. BalinskisD000-210.04122—18:16
23C. VerhaegheC000-210.68000018:12
17E. RodriguesC011-120.180006417:30
2J. PetryD000-310.07020—16:58
11M. SamoskevichR000050.44000—11:43
70J. BoqvistC000020.55010011:24
10A. GreerL000-110.41200—11:19
6D. SebrangoD000-110.012016—11:08
71L. KuninC000-200.011105009:55
53J. StudnickaC000-200.00110006:30
18N. GregorL000-200.00100—05:53
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
72S. Bobrovsky(L)19145.7372.11-2.8958:49

Season series

MTL leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).