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Canadiens at Panthers
NHL

Montréal Canadiens at Florida Panthers

Final/OTTV SCRIPPS, TSN2·Amerant Bank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Florida Panthers 3-2 in overtime, Nick Suzuki scoring at 3:24. The Canadiens came back from two goals down. It was tied 0-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nick Suzuki's goal at 3:24 of overtime, which took the Canadiens' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 3.8 to 3.1; shots on goal were MTL 29, FLA 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Samuel Montembeault stopped 28 of 30 (.933), 1.1 goals saved above expected; Daniil Tarasov stopped 26 of 29 (.897), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Nick Suzuki (2 G), 2. Brad Marchand (1 G), 3. Cole Caufield (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    N. Suzuki2 G
  2. ★★
    FLA
    B. Marchand1 G
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    C. Caufield1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
MTLMTL0701021012329
FLAFLA090821102230

Scoring

5 goals

3rd period

  1. FLA
    S. Bennett (16), S. Jones (18)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +25 ptsVideo
    0-1
    10:18
  2. FLA
    wristxG 0.02win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-2
    15:01
  3. MTL
    L. Hutson (32), N. Dobson (19)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +8 ptsVideo
    1-2
    15:33
  4. MTL
    slapxG 0.05win prob +42 ptsVideo
    2-2
    18:38

Overtime

  1. MTL
    N. Suzuki(13)PPG
    L. Hutson (33), N. Dobson (20)
    wristxG 0.32win prob +51 ptsVideo
    3-2
    3:24

Penalties

MTL 8 PIM·FLA 8 PIM

1st

  • 4:51FLAUvis Balinskis · High stickingdrawn by Zachary Bolduc2 min

2nd

  • 5:01FLAAaron Ekblad · Cross checkingdrawn by Ivan Demidov2 min
  • 13:15MTLLane Hutson · Cross checkingdrawn by Anton Lundell2 min
  • 15:37MTLNick Suzuki · Hookingdrawn by Mackie Samoskevich2 min

3rd

  • 1:40MTLAdam Engstrom · Interferencedrawn by A.J. Greer2 min
  • 4:17FLAGustav Forsling · Trippingdrawn by Cole Caufield2 min
  • 9:55MTLJuraj Slafkovský · Trippingdrawn by Mackie Samoskevich2 min

OT

  • 1:27FLABrad Marchand · Roughingdrawn by Mike Matheson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalMTL goalFinal: FLA 0%

Biggest swing: Nick Suzuki, OT 3:24 — MTL 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.39B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.24B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.19S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.18A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.15B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.14S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.14J. Boqvist · On goal · xG 0.13B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.12S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.12S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.11S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.09B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.09L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.09N. Mikkola · Missed · xG 0.08C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.08E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.08L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.08S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.08B. Marchand · Goal · xG 0.06C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.06S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.05E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.04E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.04A. Greer · On goal · xG 0.04E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.03A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.03G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.03A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.02S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.02E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.02S. Reinhart · Goal · xG 0.02M. Samoskevich · On goal · xG 0.02U. Balinskis · On goal · xG 0.02E. Rodrigues · Missed · xG 0.01N. Mikkola · Missed · xG 0.01A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.01S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.01S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA2 G · 3.1 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsFLA
3.83 G
All situations
2 G3.1
2.32 G
Even strength
1 G1.6
1.41 G
Power play
1 G1.4
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL62%38%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.80 – 3.04

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsFLA
29
Shots on goal
30
56%
Faceoffs
44%
1/4
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
8
16
Hits
30
18
Blocked shots
11
13
Giveaways
9
7
Takeaways
1

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8M. MathesonD000010.01020—27:14
53N. DobsonD022+240.23150—24:32
14N. SuzukiC202+171.271025522:33
48L. HutsonD022+100.11002—22:29
45A. CarrierD000-110.04040—21:18
13C. CaufieldR112+150.61000—20:20
20J. SlafkovskýL000+100.14122—19:53
93I. DemidovR011+110.09100—18:31
91O. KapanenC000010.050106218:23
24P. DanaultC000-100.072105917:04
85A. TexierL000+140.38110—16:41
17J. AndersonR000010.1100010014:52
11B. GallagherR000010.01000—11:38
76Z. BolducR000000.55120—11:36
42A. EngstromD000000.00002—11:29
90J. VelenoC000030.160004010:08
72A. XhekajD000000.01400—09:39
27S. BlaisL000000.00400—08:09
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35S. Montembeault(W)30282.9333.10+1.1062:41

Season series

MTL leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).