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San Jose Sharks at Carolina Hurricanes

FinalTV FDSNSO, NBCSCA·Lenovo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The San Jose Sharks beat the Carolina Hurricanes 4-1. The Sharks scored first and never trailed. The Sharks led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was John Klingberg's goal at 7:54 of the second period, which took the Sharks' chances from 47% to 65%. Expected goals were close — SJS 3.1, CAR 3.2; shots on goal were SJS 23, CAR 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 28 of 29 (.966), 2.2 goals saved above expected; Pyotr Kochetkov stopped 19 of 22 (.864), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Alex Nedeljkovic (28 saves, .966), 2. John Klingberg (1 G, 1 A), 3. Macklin Celebrini (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    SJS
    A. Nedeljkovic28 saves, .966
  2. ★★
    SJS
    J. Klingberg1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    SJS
    M. Celebrini1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SJSSJS1621017423
CARCAR1806015129

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. SJS
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    0:33
  2. CAR
    J. Staal(8)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +10 ptsVideo
    1-1
    13:18

2nd period

  1. SJS
    snapxG 0.18win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-1
    7:54
  2. SJS
    snapxG 0.40win prob +13 ptsVideo
    3-1
    15:14

3rd period

  1. SJS
    wristxG 0.94win prob +1 ptsVideo
    4-1
    18:40

Penalties

SJS 8 PIM·CAR 6 PIM

1st

  • 6:15CARJesperi Kotkaniemi · Hookingdrawn by Dmitry Orlov2 min
  • 12:59SJSMacklin Celebrini · Holdingdrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min
  • 18:18SJSMario Ferraro · Holdingdrawn by Jordan Staal2 min

2nd

  • 14:51CARJackson Blake · Trippingdrawn by Macklin Celebrini2 min

3rd

  • 5:16SJSJeff Skinner · Cross checkingdrawn by Alexander Nikishin2 min
  • 19:45CARMike Reilly · High stickingdrawn by Jeff Skinner2 min
  • 19:45SJSJeff Skinner · Slashingdrawn by Mike Reilly2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalSJS goalFinal: CAR 0%

Biggest swing: John Klingberg, 2nd 7:54 — SJS 47% → 65%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.24J. Blake · On goal · xG 0.20J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.16S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.16N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.15L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.13A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.13J. Staal · Goal · xG 0.12A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.12J. Blake · On goal · xG 0.11N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.10J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.10S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.09S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.09S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.08N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.07T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.07J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.07J. Blake · Missed · xG 0.06L. Stankoven · Missed · xG 0.05L. Stankoven · Missed · xG 0.05T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.05J. Blake · Missed · xG 0.05S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.05J. Blake · Missed · xG 0.04J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.04J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.04L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.04J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.04N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.04J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.04A. Nikishin · On goal · xG 0.04L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.03N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.03L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.03S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.03M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.03A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.02J. Blake · Missed · xG 0.02J. Chatfield · Missed · xG 0.02J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.02K. Miller · Missed · xG 0.02S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.02T. Hall · Missed · xG 0.02K. Miller · Missed · xG 0.01A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.01K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01S. Walker · Missed · xG 0.01N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.01K. Miller · Missed · xG 0.01J. Chatfield · Missed · xG 0.01M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.00S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.00J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.00T. Hall · Missed · xG 0.00A. Nikishin · On goal · xG 0.00S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.00
CAR1 G · 3.2 xG · 57 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SJSvsCAR
3.13 G
All situations
1 G3.2
1.42 G
Even strength
0 G1.9
0.71 G
Power play
1 G1.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SJS32%68%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.11 – 3.17

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SJSvsCAR
23
Shots on goal
29
51%
Faceoffs
49%
1/2
Power play
1/3
8
Penalty minutes
6
21
Hits
12
26
Blocked shots
9
9
Giveaways
18
4
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
San Jose Sharks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
38M. FerraroD000+210.01242—21:01
9D. OrlovD000+100.00010—20:56
37T. LiljegrenD000+200.00020—20:30
4N. LeddyD000000.11010—19:13
3J. KlingbergD112+120.22130—18:43
21A. WennbergC112+110.400304518:36
71M. CelebriniC123+331.091125718:12
6S. DickinsonD000000.00010—17:38
72W. EklundL011030.19130—17:03
51C. GrafR101+210.16110—16:32
2W. SmithC011+130.23000015:50
10T. DellandreaC000+110.263105315:48
73T. ToffoliC000020.10020013:23
81A. GaudetteR000010.103204013:03
96P. KurashevC011+110.08000012:55
23B. GoodrowC000000.01200012:45
53J. SkinnerL000030.11114—12:16
63Z. OstapchukC000010.016005611:02
San Jose Sharks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33A. Nedeljkovic(W)29281.9663.18+2.1860:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).