San Jose Sharks at Carolina Hurricanes
Recap
written from the game dataThe San Jose Sharks beat the Carolina Hurricanes 4-1. The Sharks scored first and never trailed. The Sharks led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was John Klingberg's goal at 7:54 of the second period, which took the Sharks' chances from 47% to 65%. Expected goals were close — SJS 3.1, CAR 3.2; shots on goal were SJS 23, CAR 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 28 of 29 (.966), 2.2 goals saved above expected; Pyotr Kochetkov stopped 19 of 22 (.864), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Alex Nedeljkovic (28 saves, .966), 2. John Klingberg (1 G, 1 A), 3. Macklin Celebrini (1 G, 2 A).
Three stars
- ★A. Nedeljkovic28 saves, .966

- ★★J. Klingberg1 G, 1 A

- ★★★M. Celebrini1 G, 2 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals1st period
1-00:33
1-113:18
2nd period
2-17:54
3-115:14
3rd period
4-118:40
Penalties
1st
- 6:15
Jesperi Kotkaniemi · Hookingdrawn by Dmitry Orlov2 min
- 12:59
Macklin Celebrini · Holdingdrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min
- 18:18
Mario Ferraro · Holdingdrawn by Jordan Staal2 min
2nd
- 14:51
Jackson Blake · Trippingdrawn by Macklin Celebrini2 min
3rd
- 5:16
Jeff Skinner · Cross checkingdrawn by Alexander Nikishin2 min
- 19:45
Mike Reilly · High stickingdrawn by Jeff Skinner2 min
- 19:45
Jeff Skinner · Slashingdrawn by Mike Reilly2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: John Klingberg, 2nd 7:54 — 47% → 65%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.13 G
- All situations
- 1 G3.2
- 1.42 G
- Even strength
- 0 G1.9
- 0.71 G
- Power play
- 1 G1.2
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.11 – 3.17
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 23
- Shots on goal
- 29
- 51%
- Faceoffs
- 49%
- 1/2
- Power play
- 1/3
- 8
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 21
- Hits
- 12
- 26
- Blocked shots
- 9
- 9
- Giveaways
- 18
- 4
- Takeaways
- 6
Box score
every player line
Season series
Tied 1-1
5@
1Final
4@
1this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
