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Hurricanes at Sharks
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at San Jose Sharks

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
▸5
San Jose Sharks
1
FinalTV FDSNSO, NBCSCA·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the San Jose Sharks 5-1. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was William Carrier's goal at 14:14 of the second period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 47% to 68%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.0 to 2.1; shots on goal were CAR 43, SJS 17. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Brandon Bussi stopped 16 of 17 (.941), 1.1 goals saved above expected; Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 38 of 43 (.884), 1.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Logan Stankoven (2 A), 2. Brandon Bussi (16 saves, .941), 3. Shayne Gostisbehere (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    L. Stankoven2 A
  2. ★★
    CAR
    B. Bussi16 saves, .941
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    S. Gostisbehere1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR014319210543
SJSSJS081900117

Scoring

6 goals

2nd period

  1. CAR
    S. Walker(1)
    S. Aho (4), S. Jarvis (1)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-0
    1:24
  2. SJS
    W. Eklund(1)
    T. Toffoli (1), N. Leddy (2)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-1
    4:38
  3. CAR
    W. Carrier(1)
    A. Nikishin (3), J. Martinook (3)
    pokexG 0.11win prob +21 ptsVideo
    2-1
    14:14
  4. CAR
    E. Robinson(2)
    M. Reilly (1)
    backhandxG 0.06win prob +18 ptsVideo
    3-1
    18:39

3rd period

  1. CAR
    S. Gostisbehere(1)
    L. Stankoven (1), T. Hall (2)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +8 ptsVideo
    4-1
    1:52
  2. CAR
    J. Blake(1)
    J. Chatfield (1), L. Stankoven (2)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +1 ptsVideo
    5-1
    7:25

Penalties

CAR 12 PIM·SJS 8 PIM

1st

  • 0:25CARK'Andre Miller · Slashingdrawn by Macklin Celebrini2 min
  • 11:31CARShayne Gostisbehere · Slashingdrawn by Jeff Skinner2 min
  • 15:41CARWilliam Carrier · Boardingdrawn by Mario Ferraro2 min
  • 17:04SJSWill Smith · Slashingdrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min

2nd

  • 5:55SJSAdam Gaudette · Hookingdrawn by Jackson Blake2 min
  • 8:09CARJackson Blake · Hookingdrawn by Ty Dellandrea2 min

3rd

  • 8:23SJSSam Dickinson · Roughingdrawn by Alexander Nikishin2 min
  • 8:23SJSSam Dickinson · Trippingdrawn by Shayne Gostisbehere2 min
  • 8:23CARAlexander Nikishin · Roughingdrawn by Sam Dickinson2 min
  • 13:52CARSean Walker · Hookingdrawn by Alexander Wennberg2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalCAR goalFinal: SJS 0%

Biggest swing: William Carrier, 2nd 14:14 — CAR 47% → 68%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
W. Smith · On goal · xG 0.19W. Eklund · On goal · xG 0.16A. Wennberg · On goal · xG 0.16T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.15B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.15A. Gaudette · On goal · xG 0.14A. Wennberg · On goal · xG 0.13J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.12J. Skinner · Missed · xG 0.11M. Misa · Missed · xG 0.10J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.10W. Eklund · Goal · xG 0.09W. Eklund · Missed · xG 0.07D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.07T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.06M. Celebrini · Missed · xG 0.06M. Celebrini · Missed · xG 0.06W. Smith · On goal · xG 0.06W. Smith · On goal · xG 0.05M. Celebrini · Missed · xG 0.04M. Ferraro · On goal · xG 0.02N. Leddy · On goal · xG 0.01T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.01J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.01R. Reaves · On goal · xG 0.01B. Goodrow · Missed · xG 0.00A. Wennberg · On goal · xG 0.00
SJS1 G · 2.1 xG · 27 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsSJS
3.05 G
All situations
1 G2.1
2.55 G
Even strength
1 G1.2
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.8
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR66%34%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.03 – 2.12

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsSJS
43
Shots on goal
17
56%
Faceoffs
44%
0/3
Power play
0/5
12
Penalty minutes
8
13
Hits
21
8
Blocked shots
18
23
Giveaways
15
5
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
19K. MillerD000+120.12112—22:32
26S. WalkerD101+130.23222—21:44
5J. ChatfieldD011+110.02000—19:24
4S. GostisbehereD101+230.27032—18:48
20S. AhoC011030.312005618:26
6M. ReillyD011+150.05000—18:13
24S. JarvisR011010.03000—17:19
21A. NikishinD011+230.12112—17:14
22L. StankovenC022+340.270003617:03
53J. BlakeR101+240.18002—16:42
27N. EhlersL000050.42000—15:04
11J. StaalC000000.002006115:01
48J. MartinookL011+120.022005014:41
37A. SvechnikovR000+110.12000—13:30
71T. HallL011+200.000005012:48
50E. RobinsonL101+120.25000—11:00
28W. CarrierL101+140.57302—10:51
77M. JankowskiL000+100.060107309:40
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32B. Bussi(W)17161.9412.13+1.1360:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).