Boston Bruins at New York Islanders
Recap
written from the game dataThe Boston Bruins beat the New York Islanders 3-1. The Islanders scored first; the Bruins answered. The Bruins led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex Steeves's goal at 10:21 of the third period, which took the Bruins' chances from 76% to 94%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 4.4 to 1.2; shots on goal were BOS 14, NYI 44. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 93% of the time. Jeremy Swayman stopped 43 of 44 (.977), 3.5 goals saved above expected; Ilya Sorokin stopped 11 of 14 (.786), 1.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Alex Steeves (2 G), 2. Jeremy Swayman (43 saves, .977), 3. Fraser Minten (2 A).
Three stars
- ★A. Steeves2 G

- ★★J. Swayman43 saves, .977

- ★★★F. Minten2 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
4 goals1st period
0-14:41
1-16:23
2nd period
2-10:43
3rd period
3-110:21
Penalties
1st
- 13:34
David Pastrnak · Trippingdrawn by Matthew Schaefer2 min
- 18:01
Emil Heineman · Trippingdrawn by Morgan Geekie2 min
2nd
- 1:33
Henri Jokiharju · Interferencedrawn by Anders Lee2 min
- 12:00
Mark Kastelic · Trippingdrawn by Matthew Schaefer2 min
3rd
- 9:18
Morgan Geekie · Trippingdrawn by Bo Horvat2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Alex Steeves, 3rd 10:21 — 76% → 94%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.23 G
- All situations
- 1 G4.4
- 1.02 G
- Even strength
- 1 G2.2
- 0.00 G
- Power play
- 0 G2.3
- 0.11 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.20 – 4.34
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 14
- Shots on goal
- 44
- 50%
- Faceoffs
- 50%
- 0/1
- Power play
- 0/4
- 8
- Penalty minutes
- 2
- 24
- Hits
- 17
- 12
- Blocked shots
- 17
- 10
- Giveaways
- 12
- 4
- Takeaways
- 3
Box score
every player line
Season series
BOS leads 3-0
2@
5Final
4@
3SOFinal
3@
1this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
