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New York Islanders at Boston Bruins

FinalTV NESN, MSGSN·TD Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the New York Islanders 5-2. The Bruins came back from two goals down. The Bruins led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Michael Eyssimont's goal at 7:48 of the second period, which took the Bruins' chances from 53% to 71%. Expected goals favored the Bruins, 3.3 to 2.9; shots on goal were NYI 35, BOS 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Ilya Sorokin stopped 17 of 21 (.810), 1.6 goals below expected; Joonas Korpisalo stopped 33 of 35 (.943), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Joonas Korpisalo (33 saves, .943), 2. David Pastrnak (1 G, 1 A), 3. Charlie McAvoy (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BOS
    J. Korpisalo33 saves, .943
  2. ★★
    BOS
    D. Pastrnak1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    BOS
    C. McAvoy2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI210010015235
BOSBOS0431127522

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    snapxG 0.08win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-0
    1:08
  2. NYI
    snapxG 0.14win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-0
    4:52

2nd period

  1. BOS
    snapxG 0.13win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-1
    3:57
  2. BOS
    wristxG 0.09win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-2
    6:49
  3. BOS
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-3
    7:48

3rd period

  1. BOS
    M. Geekie(8)PPG
    slapxG 0.05win prob +11 ptsVideo
    2-4
    5:48
  2. BOS
    wristxG 0.92win prob +1 ptsVideo
    2-5
    16:37

Penalties

NYI 8 PIM·BOS 10 PIM

1st

  • 16:14BOSNikita Zadorov · Boardingdrawn by Adam Pelech2 min

2nd

  • 0:38NYIAnders Lee · Trippingdrawn by Charlie McAvoy2 min
  • 3:18NYIMarshall Warren · Trippingdrawn by Mark Kastelic2 min
  • 17:09BOSHampus Lindholm · High sticking double minordrawn by Kyle Palmieri4 min

3rd

  • 2:23BOSDavid Pastrnak · Hookingdrawn by Marshall Warren2 min
  • 4:51NYIAdam Pelech · Slashingdrawn by Nikita Zadorov2 min
  • 7:16NYIMathew Barzal · Holdingdrawn by Hampus Lindholm2 min
  • 11:47BOSHampus Lindholm · Interferencedrawn by Jonathan Drouin2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BOS goalNYI goalFinal: BOS 100%

Biggest swing: Michael Eyssimont, 2nd 7:48 — BOS 53% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
F. Minten · Goal · xG 0.92M. Kastelic · On goal · xG 0.51M. Geekie · On goal · xG 0.26V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.22V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.20E. Lindholm · Goal · xG 0.13E. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.11M. Geekie · Missed · xG 0.10M. Eyssimont · Goal · xG 0.10D. Pastrnak · Goal · xG 0.09M. Geekie · On goal · xG 0.06P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.06M. Geekie · Missed · xG 0.06M. Kastelic · On goal · xG 0.06M. Geekie · Goal · xG 0.05V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.05A. Peeke · On goal · xG 0.04D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.04M. Eyssimont · Missed · xG 0.03H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.03H. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.03V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.02C. Mittelstadt · On goal · xG 0.02V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.02C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.02M. Eyssimont · On goal · xG 0.02D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.02F. Minten · Missed · xG 0.01M. Kastelic · On goal · xG 0.01M. Eyssimont · On goal · xG 0.01D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.01C. McAvoy · Missed · xG 0.00
BOS5 G · 3.3 xG · 32 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsBOS
2.92 G
All situations
4 G3.3
1.22 G
Even strength
2 G1.4
1.70 G
Power play
2 G0.9
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI58%42%BOS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.85 – 2.38

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsBOS
35
Shots on goal
22
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/5
Power play
2/4
8
Penalty minutes
10
13
Hits
20
13
Blocked shots
14
10
Giveaways
18
5
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
48M. SchaeferD000050.20210—23:39
14B. HorvatC112060.650004121:42
13M. BarzalC011020.031024019:57
3A. PelechD000010.02032—19:38
6R. PulockD000-100.00110—18:53
21K. PalmieriC101050.89000018:29
77T. DeAngeloD000-210.04020—17:44
24S. MayfieldD000+110.03010—17:32
27A. LeeL000-240.220025016:56
10S. HolmstromR000-100.05000—16:17
29J. DrouinL011020.20110—15:48
11A. DuclairL000+130.15000—15:23
44J. PageauC000-100.000106015:03
41M. WarrenD000000.00002—12:56
51E. HeinemanL000020.31300—12:50
53C. CizikasC000010.02220011:35
7M. TsyplakovR000010.01200—11:24
32K. MacLeanC000010.09110009:40
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30I. Sorokin(L)21174.8102.39-1.6158:58

Season series

BOS leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).