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Islanders at Stars
NHL

New York Islanders at Dallas Stars

NHL scoreboard
New York Islanders
▸3
Dallas Stars
2
FinalTV Victory+, MSGSN2·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Dallas Stars 3-2. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Bo Horvat's goal at 3:12 of the third period, which took the Islanders' chances from 48% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 3.0 to 1.7; shots on goal were NYI 22, DAL 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. David Rittich stopped 22 of 24 (.917), 1.0 goals saved above expected; Jake Oettinger stopped 19 of 22 (.864), 1.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Kyle Palmieri (1 G, 1 A), 2. Jason Robertson (2 G), 3. David Rittich (22 saves, .917).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    K. Palmieri1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    DAL
    J. Robertson2 G
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    D. Rittich22 saves, .917

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI0101527322
DALDAL0101519224

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. NYI
    C. Ritchie(1)
    A. Duclair (4), R. Pulock (8)
    slapxG 0.14win prob +19 ptsVideo
    1-0
    10:31
  2. DAL
    J. Robertson(10)
    T. Seguin (4), M. Heiskanen (15)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +20 ptsVideo
    1-1
    12:26

3rd period

  1. NYI
    B. Horvat(13)
    K. Palmieri (10), E. Heineman (5)
    snapxG 0.23win prob +26 ptsVideo
    2-1
    3:12
  2. NYI
    K. Palmieri(6)SHG
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.07win prob +24 ptsVideo
    3-1
    7:38
  3. DAL
    J. Robertson(11)
    T. Seguin (5), M. Rantanen (18)
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +5 ptsVideo
    3-2
    18:01

Penalties

NYI 16 PIM·DAL 19 PIM

3rd

  • 6:48NYIBo Horvat · High sticking double minordrawn by Oskar Bäck4 min
  • 6:48NYIBo Horvat · Misconduct10 min
  • 7:52DALJamie Benn · High stickingdrawn by Scott Mayfield2 min
  • 13:08NYIMatthew Schaefer · High stickingdrawn by Jason Robertson2 min
  • 14:29DALJason Robertson · Hookingdrawn by Scott Mayfield2 min
  • 19:32DALMikko Rantanen · Boardingdrawn by Alexander Romanov5 min
  • 19:32DALMikko Rantanen · Game misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalNYI goalFinal: DAL 0%

Biggest swing: Bo Horvat, 3rd 3:12 — NYI 48% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
W. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.31R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.20M. Bourque · Missed · xG 0.20M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.19J. Robertson · Goal · xG 0.18O. Bäck · On goal · xG 0.18J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.16J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.15J. Robertson · Goal · xG 0.14S. Steel · On goal · xG 0.14J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.13M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.11J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.08J. Hryckowian · On goal · xG 0.08J. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.08T. Seguin · Missed · xG 0.08R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.07T. Seguin · Missed · xG 0.06C. Blackwell · Missed · xG 0.05A. Petrovic · Missed · xG 0.05E. Lindell · Missed · xG 0.05M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.04M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.03E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.03E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.03M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.02J. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.02A. Petrovic · Missed · xG 0.02M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.02R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.01M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.01R. Faksa · Missed · xG 0.01E. Lindell · Missed · xG 0.01R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.01E. Lindell · Missed · xG 0.01M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.01E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL2 G · 3.0 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsDAL
1.73 G
All situations
2 G3.0
1.62 G
Even strength
2 G2.4
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.11 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 70 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI27%73%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.69 – 2.94

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsDAL
22
Shots on goal
24
37%
Faceoffs
63%
0/2
Power play
0/3
16
Penalty minutes
19
17
Hits
16
16
Blocked shots
6
16
Giveaways
7
8
Takeaways
1

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
24S. MayfieldD000000.02020—21:38
6R. PulockD011+130.06000—21:14
48M. SchaeferD000+210.01022—21:05
28A. RomanovD000030.10330—20:39
51E. HeinemanL011010.06230—20:10
21K. PalmieriC112+130.13000020:02
13M. BarzalC000-220.040002019:42
3A. PelechD000010.08000—18:31
29J. DrouinL000-100.090003316:55
77T. DeAngeloD000-100.01000—16:21
27A. LeeL000-120.25000—15:37
44J. PageauC000010.052305015:11
14B. HorvatC101+120.2821142714:35
49M. ShabanovR000000.04110—12:20
11A. DuclairL011+100.0000010011:15
53C. CizikasC000+100.004105010:28
64C. RitchieC101+120.400006709:21
7M. TsyplakovR000+110.12300—08:56
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33D. Rittich(W)24222.9172.97+0.9760:00

Season series

NYI leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).