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Islanders at Avalanche
NHL

New York Islanders at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
New York Islanders
1
Colorado Avalanche
▸4
FinalTV ALT, MSGSN·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the New York Islanders 4-1. The Islanders scored first; the Avalanche answered. The Avalanche led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Victor Olofsson's goal at 5:51 of the second period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.3 to 2.7; shots on goal were NYI 29, COL 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Ilya Sorokin stopped 24 of 27 (.889); Scott Wedgewood stopped 28 of 29 (.966), 1.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Scott Wedgewood (28 saves, .966), 2. Brock Nelson (1 G, 1 A), 3. Victor Olofsson (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    S. Wedgewood28 saves, .966
  2. ★★
    COL
    B. Nelson1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    V. Olofsson1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI17011011129
COLCOL07210211428

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    E. Heineman(9)
    T. DeAngelo (7), K. Palmieri (9)
    deflectedxG 0.08win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    2:05

2nd period

  1. COL
    R. Colton(3)
    C. Makar (19), B. Nelson (4)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-1
    4:32
  2. COL
    V. Olofsson(6)
    S. Malinski (9)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-2
    5:51

3rd period

  1. COL
    M. Necas(13)EN
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.46win prob +5 ptsVideo
    1-3
    19:25
  2. COL
    B. Nelson(5)
    B. Burns (9), P. Kelly (4)
    tip-inxG 0.10Video
    1-4
    19:44

Penalties

NYI 11 PIM·COL 13 PIM

1st

  • 4:56NYIScott Mayfield · High stickingdrawn by Brock Nelson2 min

2nd

  • 8:14COLParker Kelly · Interferencedrawn by Alexander Romanov2 min
  • 10:39NYIRyan Pulock · High stickingdrawn by Parker Kelly2 min
  • 19:06COLCale Makar · Hookingdrawn by Matthew Schaefer2 min

3rd

  • 4:40COLGavin Brindley · High stickingdrawn by Scott Mayfield2 min
  • 6:17NYIAnders Lee · Roughingdrawn by Josh Manson2 min
  • 6:17NYIAnders Lee · Fightingdrawn by Josh Manson5 min
  • 6:17COLJosh Manson · Fightingdrawn by Anders Lee5 min
  • 16:40COLMartin Necas · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalNYI goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Victor Olofsson, 2nd 5:51 — COL 53% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Necas · Goal · xG 0.46B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.31G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.31A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.21R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.21M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.18C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.17M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.15R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.11B. Nelson · Goal · xG 0.10V. Olofsson · Missed · xG 0.10S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.10G. Brindley · On goal · xG 0.07N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.07G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.07N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.06N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.06V. Olofsson · Goal · xG 0.06D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.05N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.05R. Colton · Goal · xG 0.04C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.04B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.03R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.03C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.03M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.03A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.03J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Manson · Missed · xG 0.02B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.02R. Colton · Missed · xG 0.02B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.01G. Brindley · On goal · xG 0.01G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.01D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.01V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.01S. Girard · Missed · xG 0.01B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.01B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.00S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.00J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.00
COL4 G · 3.3 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsCOL
2.71 G
All situations
3 G3.3
1.51 G
Even strength
3 G2.1
1.20 G
Power play
0 G0.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI48%52%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.66 – 2.74

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsCOL
29
Shots on goal
28
57%
Faceoffs
43%
0/4
Power play
0/3
11
Penalty minutes
13
11
Hits
19
14
Blocked shots
11
12
Giveaways
14
3
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
13M. BarzalC000-260.421106923:50
14B. HorvatC000060.600005822:25
21K. PalmieriC011030.34000022:19
48M. SchaeferD000-120.22110—21:39
29J. DrouinL000-120.220104321:12
28A. RomanovD000-120.21320—20:03
24S. MayfieldD000-100.04322—18:28
3A. PelechD000-120.04110—18:18
77T. DeAngeloD011010.01000—17:14
10S. HolmstromR000-100.0004010016:41
6R. PulockD000-110.01102—16:22
44J. PageauC000-100.000105315:10
51E. HeinemanL101010.08010—14:28
27A. LeeL000-210.20007—13:36
11A. DuclairL000-100.02000—10:45
49M. ShabanovR000-120.27000—10:33
64C. RitchieC000-100.000005006:54
53C. CizikasC000-100.01100005:37
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30I. Sorokin(L)27243.8892.82-0.1858:26

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).