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Oilers at Panthers
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Florida Panthers

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
1
Florida Panthers
▸5
FinalTV TNT, truTV·Amerant Bank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Edmonton Oilers 5-1. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Matthew Tkachuk's goal at 19:13 of the first period, which took the Panthers' chances from 68% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 3.7 to 1.7; shots on goal were EDM 29, FLA 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Stuart Skinner stopped 20 of 23 (.870); Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 28 of 29 (.966), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Sam Reinhart (4 G), 2. Sergei Bobrovsky (28 saves, .966), 3. Matthew Tkachuk (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    S. Reinhart4 G
  2. ★★
    FLA
    S. Bobrovsky28 saves, .966
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    M. Tkachuk1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM01001019129
FLAFLA291927525

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    S. Reinhart(8)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.23win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    4:36
  2. FLA
    M. Tkachuk(8)
    E. Luostarinen (14), A. Lundell (12)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    19:13

2nd period

  1. FLA
    S. Reinhart(9)
    A. Barkov (15), C. Verhaeghe (14)
    deflectedxG 0.25win prob +7 ptsVideo
    0-3
    17:31

3rd period

  1. FLA
    S. Reinhart(10)EN
    A. Barkov (16), C. Verhaeghe (15)
    snapxG 0.48Video
    0-4
    13:26
  2. FLA
    S. Reinhart(11)EN
    C. Verhaeghe (16), A. Ekblad (9)
    wristxG 0.50Video
    0-5
    14:55
  3. EDM
    V. Podkolzin(3)
    J. Walman (8), C. Brown (4)
    backhandxG 0.67Video
    1-5
    15:18

Penalties

EDM 12 PIM·FLA 2 PIM

1st

  • 9:45EDMEvander Kane · Slashingdrawn by Sergei Bobrovsky2 min
  • 9:45FLASam Bennett · Roughingdrawn by Evander Kane2 min

3rd

  • 17:47EDMEvander Kane · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalEDM goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Matthew Tkachuk, 1st 19:13 — FLA 68% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Reinhart · Goal · xG 0.50S. Reinhart · Goal · xG 0.48S. Reinhart · Goal · xG 0.25B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.24S. Reinhart · Goal · xG 0.23S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.22C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.16S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.15A. Lundell · Missed · xG 0.13J. Gadjovich · On goal · xG 0.11A. Lundell · Missed · xG 0.11C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.09A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.08A. Greer · On goal · xG 0.08E. Rodrigues · Missed · xG 0.07E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.07C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.07N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.06A. Greer · Missed · xG 0.06A. Lundell · Missed · xG 0.05A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.05M. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.05M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.04N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.04E. Rodrigues · Missed · xG 0.04A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.04S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.04S. Jones · Missed · xG 0.04D. Kulikov · Missed · xG 0.03G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.02A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.02C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.01E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.01B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.01N. Mikkola · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.01B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA5 G · 3.7 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsFLA
1.71 G
All situations
3 G3.7
1.71 G
Even strength
3 G2.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM31%69%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.67 – 2.63

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsFLA
29
Shots on goal
25
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/0
Power play
0/0
12
Penalty minutes
2
29
Hits
28
15
Blocked shots
17
10
Giveaways
18
1
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2E. BouchardD000-430.12200—24:45
97C. McDavidC000-420.121203322:30
29L. DraisaitlC000-400.004206022:26
27B. KulakD000-120.09210—22:03
25D. NurseD000-200.00110—18:46
96J. WalmanD011050.11040—18:42
14M. EkholmD000-200.00120—18:32
91E. KaneL000020.063012—17:54
36J. KlingbergD000+110.00010—17:14
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC000-220.061005616:15
90C. PerryR000-430.16100—15:10
42K. KapanenR000030.01100—14:35
53J. SkinnerL000-120.17210—14:12
19A. HenriqueC000-110.022004113:17
28C. BrownR011+100.01000—11:57
21T. FredericC000-100.00510011:10
13M. JanmarkC000+100.002003310:12
92V. PodkolzinR101+130.74100—09:37
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74S. Skinner(L)23203.8702.67-0.3358:43

Series

FLA leads 4-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).